Endur ASA Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ENDUR Stock | NOK 91.60 2.70 3.04% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Endur ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 91.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.91 and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.60. Endur Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, The value of RSI of Endur ASA's share price is at 59 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Endur ASA, making its price go up or down. Momentum 59
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Endur ASA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Endur ASA from the perspective of Endur ASA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Endur ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 91.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.91 and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.60. Endur ASA after-hype prediction price | NOK 91.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Endur |
Endur ASA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Endur price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Endur using various technical indicators. When you analyze Endur charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Endur ASA Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Endur ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 91.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.91, mean absolute percentage error of 1.42, and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.60.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Endur Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Endur ASA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Endur ASA Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Endur ASA | Endur ASA Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Endur ASA Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Endur ASA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Endur ASA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 90.22 and 92.98, respectively. We have considered Endur ASA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Endur ASA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Endur ASA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.6228 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.11 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.91 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0105 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 54.6 |
Predictive Modules for Endur ASA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Endur ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Endur ASA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Endur ASA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Endur ASA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Endur ASA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Endur ASA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Endur ASA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Endur ASA's historical news coverage. Endur ASA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 90.22 and 92.98, respectively. We have considered Endur ASA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Endur ASA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Endur ASA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Endur ASA Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Endur ASA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Endur ASA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Endur ASA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 1.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
91.60 | 91.60 | 0.00 |
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Endur ASA Hype Timeline
Endur ASA is currently traded for 91.60on Oslo Stock Exchange of Norway. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Endur is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Endur ASA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 91.60. About 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.06. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Endur ASA has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.06. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:50 split on the 20th of June 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Endur ASA to cross-verify your projections.Endur ASA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Endur ASA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Endur ASA's future price movements. Getting to know how Endur ASA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Endur ASA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NEL | Nel ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.93 | (4.52) | 28.07 | |
| KCC | Klaveness Combination Carriers | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.10 | 0.08 | 2.94 | (1.76) | 7.31 | |
| MULTI | Multiconsult AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.27 | (0.07) | 2.40 | (1.94) | 5.38 | |
| HSHP | Himalaya Shipping | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.96 | 0.09 | 3.38 | (3.15) | 14.32 | |
| SOFF | Solstad Offsho | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.69 | 0.06 | 2.88 | (2.63) | 8.49 | |
| AKVA | Akva Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.17 | (3.02) | 11.82 | |
| ENVIP | Envipco Holding NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.07 | (4.14) | 11.84 | |
| 2020 | 2020 Bulkers | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.00 | 0.03 | 1.65 | (1.58) | 7.03 | |
| CAMBI | Cambi ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.49 | (4.59) | 13.18 | |
| AFK | Arendals Fossekompani ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.08 | 0.12 | 3.08 | (1.85) | 7.14 |
Other Forecasting Options for Endur ASA
For every potential investor in Endur, whether a beginner or expert, Endur ASA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Endur Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Endur. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Endur ASA's price trends.Endur ASA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Endur ASA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Endur ASA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Endur ASA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Endur ASA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Endur ASA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Endur ASA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Endur ASA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Endur ASA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Endur ASA Risk Indicators
The analysis of Endur ASA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Endur ASA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting endur stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.04 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Variance | 1.91 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.86 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.37 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.16) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Endur ASA
The number of cover stories for Endur ASA depends on current market conditions and Endur ASA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Endur ASA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Endur ASA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Endur ASA Short Properties
Endur ASA's future price predictability will typically decrease when Endur ASA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Endur ASA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Endur ASA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Endur ASA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 287.3 M |
Other Information on Investing in Endur Stock
Endur ASA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Endur Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Endur with respect to the benefits of owning Endur ASA security.