Energiedienst Holding Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing

ENGDF Stock  USD 36.06  0.00  0.00%   
Energiedienst Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Energiedienst Holding's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 3rd of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Energiedienst Holding's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Energiedienst Holding's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Energiedienst Holding and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Energiedienst Holding's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Energiedienst Holding AG, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Energiedienst Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Energiedienst Holding AG from the perspective of Energiedienst Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Energiedienst Holding AG on the next trading day is expected to be 36.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.

Energiedienst Holding after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 36.06  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Energiedienst Holding to cross-verify your projections.

Energiedienst Holding Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Energiedienst price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Energiedienst using various technical indicators. When you analyze Energiedienst charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Energiedienst Holding works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Energiedienst Holding Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Energiedienst Holding AG on the next trading day is expected to be 36.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Energiedienst Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Energiedienst Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Energiedienst Holding Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Energiedienst Holding  Energiedienst Holding Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Energiedienst Holding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Energiedienst Holding's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Energiedienst Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 36.06 and 36.06, respectively. We have considered Energiedienst Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
36.06
36.06
Expected Value
36.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Energiedienst Holding pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Energiedienst Holding pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
When Energiedienst Holding AG prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Energiedienst Holding AG trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Energiedienst Holding observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Energiedienst Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Energiedienst Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Energiedienst Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.0636.0636.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36.0636.0636.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
36.0636.0636.06
Details

Energiedienst Holding After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Energiedienst Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Energiedienst Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Energiedienst Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Energiedienst Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Energiedienst Holding's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Energiedienst Holding's historical news coverage. Energiedienst Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.06 and 36.06, respectively. We have considered Energiedienst Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
36.06
36.06
After-hype Price
36.06
Upside
Energiedienst Holding is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Energiedienst Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.

Energiedienst Holding Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Energiedienst Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Energiedienst Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Energiedienst Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
36.06
36.06
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Energiedienst Holding Hype Timeline

Energiedienst Holding is currently traded for 36.06. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Energiedienst is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Energiedienst Holding is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.06. About 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.64. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Energiedienst Holding last dividend was issued on the 28th of April 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Energiedienst Holding to cross-verify your projections.

Energiedienst Holding Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Energiedienst Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Energiedienst Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how Energiedienst Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Energiedienst Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CGEGFCGN New Energy 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
EYGPFElectricity Generating Public 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BJGBFBeijing Gas Blue 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.21) 0.00  0.00  5.45 
ALRCFAlerion Clean Power 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ERXCFEREX CoLtd 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
RGPCFRatch Group Public 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FPHHFFirst Philippine Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
PHIXFPhilippine Metals 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
PRHLPremier Hldg Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ENCVFEncavis AG 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Energiedienst Holding

For every potential investor in Energiedienst, whether a beginner or expert, Energiedienst Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Energiedienst Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Energiedienst. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Energiedienst Holding's price trends.

Energiedienst Holding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Energiedienst Holding pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Energiedienst Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Energiedienst Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Energiedienst Holding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Energiedienst Holding pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Energiedienst Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Energiedienst Holding pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Energiedienst Holding AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Energiedienst Holding

The number of cover stories for Energiedienst Holding depends on current market conditions and Energiedienst Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Energiedienst Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Energiedienst Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Energiedienst Holding Short Properties

Energiedienst Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when Energiedienst Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Energiedienst Holding AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Energiedienst Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Energiedienst Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date28th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.82
Float Shares6.06M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day100
Average Daily Volume In Three Month15
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.97%

Other Information on Investing in Energiedienst Pink Sheet

Energiedienst Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether Energiedienst Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Energiedienst with respect to the benefits of owning Energiedienst Holding security.