Central Energy Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| ENGY Stock | USD 0.00001 0.00 0.00% |
Central Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time The value of relative strength index of Central Energy's share price is above 80 suggesting that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 100
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.59) |
Using Central Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Central Energy Partners from the perspective of Central Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Central Energy Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000017 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00001. Central Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 1.0E-5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Central Energy to cross-verify your projections. Central Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Central price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Central using various technical indicators. When you analyze Central charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Central Energy Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Central Energy Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000017, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00001.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Central Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Central Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Central Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Central Energy | Central Energy Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Central Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Central Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Central Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00 and 129.10, respectively. We have considered Central Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Central Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Central Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Central Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Central Energy Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Central Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Central Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Central Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Central Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Central Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Central Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Central Energy's historical news coverage. Central Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 50.00, respectively. We have considered Central Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Central Energy is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Central Energy Partners is based on 3 months time horizon.
Central Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Central Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Central Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Central Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
16.67 | 129.10 | 0.00 | 26.62 | 4 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.00001 | 0.00001 | 0.00 |
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Central Energy Hype Timeline
Central Energy Partners is currently traded for 0.00001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 26.62. Central is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 16.67%. %. The volatility of related hype on Central Energy is about 8083.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.62. The company last dividend was issued on the 7th of August 2008. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Central Energy to cross-verify your projections.Central Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Central Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Central Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Central Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Central Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ACIXF | Acarix AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.09 | 0.07 | 18.96 | (13.71) | 51.57 | |
| BAKPF | Global Oil Gas | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.00 | |
| DKGR | Universal Apparel Textile | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ARWJF | Aroway Energy | 15.97 | 11 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NWBD | New World Brands | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RHEP | Regional Health Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 9.49 | (9.66) | 30.85 | |
| IMNG | IMing Corp | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| VIFI | Vie Financial Group | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BOLV | Bolivar Mining Corp | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PTBTQ | Pope Talbot | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Central Energy
For every potential investor in Central, whether a beginner or expert, Central Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Central Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Central. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Central Energy's price trends.Central Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Central Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Central Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Central Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Central Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Central Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Central Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Central Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Central Energy Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 9223372 T | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 100.0 |
Story Coverage note for Central Energy
The number of cover stories for Central Energy depends on current market conditions and Central Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Central Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Central Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Central Stock Analysis
When running Central Energy's price analysis, check to measure Central Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Central Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Central Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Central Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Central Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Central Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.