E Split Preferred Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

ENS-PA Preferred Stock  CAD 10.85  0.08  0.73%   
ENS-PA Preferred Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast E Split stock prices and determine the direction of E Split Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of E Split's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of today the value of rsi of E Split's share price is below 20 suggesting that the preferred stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of E Split's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with E Split Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using E Split hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of E Split Corp from the perspective of E Split response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of E Split Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 10.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.09.

E Split after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 10.85  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of E Split to cross-verify your projections.

E Split Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ENS-PA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ENS-PA using various technical indicators. When you analyze ENS-PA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
E Split simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for E Split Corp are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as E Split Corp prices get older.

E Split Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of E Split Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 10.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ENS-PA Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that E Split's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

E Split Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest E Split  E Split Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

E Split Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting E Split's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. E Split's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.21 and 11.50, respectively. We have considered E Split's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.85
10.85
Expected Value
11.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of E Split preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent E Split preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.7931
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0053
MADMean absolute deviation0.0506
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0046
SAESum of the absolute errors3.0856
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting E Split Corp forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent E Split observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for E Split

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as E Split Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.2110.8511.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.2610.9011.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.6510.9811.32
Details

E Split After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of E Split at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in E Split or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of E Split, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

E Split Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting E Split's preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on E Split's historical news coverage. E Split's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.21 and 11.49, respectively. We have considered E Split's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
10.85
10.85
After-hype Price
11.49
Upside
E Split is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of E Split Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

E Split Preferred Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as E Split is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading E Split backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with E Split, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
0.64
 0.00  
  0.01 
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.85
10.85
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

E Split Hype Timeline

E Split Corp is currently traded for 10.85on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. ENS-PA is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on E Split is about 139.74%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.84. The company last dividend was issued on the 27th of September 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of E Split to cross-verify your projections.

E Split Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to E Split's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict E Split's future price movements. Getting to know how E Split's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how E Split may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for E Split

For every potential investor in ENS-PA, whether a beginner or expert, E Split's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ENS-PA Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ENS-PA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying E Split's price trends.

E Split Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with E Split preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of E Split could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing E Split by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

E Split Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how E Split preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading E Split shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying E Split preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify E Split Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

E Split Risk Indicators

The analysis of E Split's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in E Split's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ens-pa preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for E Split

The number of cover stories for E Split depends on current market conditions and E Split's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that E Split is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about E Split's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

E Split Short Properties

E Split's future price predictability will typically decrease when E Split's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of E Split Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential E Split's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. E Split's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding21.6 M
Dividends Paid27.9 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.7

Other Information on Investing in ENS-PA Preferred Stock

E Split financial ratios help investors to determine whether ENS-PA Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ENS-PA with respect to the benefits of owning E Split security.