Entra ASA Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

ENTRA Stock  NOK 121.40  1.20  1.00%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Entra ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 123.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 119.07. Entra Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Entra ASA polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Entra ASA as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Entra ASA Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Entra ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 123.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.95, mean absolute percentage error of 5.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 119.07.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Entra Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Entra ASA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Entra ASA Stock Forecast Pattern

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Entra ASA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Entra ASA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Entra ASA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 121.47 and 124.90, respectively. We have considered Entra ASA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
121.40
121.47
Downside
123.18
Expected Value
124.90
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Entra ASA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Entra ASA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.7787
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.952
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0155
SAESum of the absolute errors119.0694
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Entra ASA historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Entra ASA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Entra ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
119.69121.40123.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
109.26123.25124.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
108.10115.86123.62
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Entra ASA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Entra ASA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Entra ASA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Entra ASA.

Other Forecasting Options for Entra ASA

For every potential investor in Entra, whether a beginner or expert, Entra ASA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Entra Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Entra. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Entra ASA's price trends.

Entra ASA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Entra ASA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Entra ASA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Entra ASA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Entra ASA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Entra ASA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Entra ASA's current price.

Entra ASA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Entra ASA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Entra ASA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Entra ASA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Entra ASA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Entra ASA Risk Indicators

The analysis of Entra ASA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Entra ASA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting entra stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Entra Stock

Entra ASA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Entra Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Entra with respect to the benefits of owning Entra ASA security.