Vaneck Environmental Mutual Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

ENVAX Fund  USD 16.44  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vaneck Environmental Sustainability on the next trading day is expected to be 16.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Vaneck Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Vaneck Environmental is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Vaneck Environmental Sustainability value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Vaneck Environmental Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vaneck Environmental Sustainability on the next trading day is expected to be 16.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vaneck Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vaneck Environmental's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Vaneck Environmental Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Vaneck EnvironmentalVaneck Environmental Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Vaneck Environmental Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Vaneck Environmental's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vaneck Environmental's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.44 and 16.44, respectively. We have considered Vaneck Environmental's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.44
16.44
Expected Value
16.44
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vaneck Environmental mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vaneck Environmental mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria56.647
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Vaneck Environmental Sustainability. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Vaneck Environmental. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Vaneck Environmental

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vaneck Environmental. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.4416.4416.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.4416.4416.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
16.4416.4416.44
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vaneck Environmental. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vaneck Environmental's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vaneck Environmental's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vaneck Environmental.

Other Forecasting Options for Vaneck Environmental

For every potential investor in Vaneck, whether a beginner or expert, Vaneck Environmental's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vaneck Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vaneck. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vaneck Environmental's price trends.

Vaneck Environmental Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vaneck Environmental mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vaneck Environmental could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vaneck Environmental by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Vaneck Environmental Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Vaneck Environmental's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Vaneck Environmental's current price.

Vaneck Environmental Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vaneck Environmental mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vaneck Environmental shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vaneck Environmental mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Vaneck Environmental Sustainability entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Vaneck Mutual Fund

Vaneck Environmental financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vaneck Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vaneck with respect to the benefits of owning Vaneck Environmental security.
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