Enzon Pharmaceuticals OTC Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

ENZN Stock  USD 0.04  0  5.25%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Enzon Pharmaceuticals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.17. Enzon OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Enzon Pharmaceuticals' share price is below 20 suggesting that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Enzon Pharmaceuticals stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Enzon Pharmaceuticals shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Enzon Pharmaceuticals' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Enzon Pharmaceuticals and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Enzon Pharmaceuticals' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Enzon Pharmaceuticals, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Enzon Pharmaceuticals based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Enzon Pharmaceuticals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Enzon Pharmaceuticals from the perspective of Enzon Pharmaceuticals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Enzon Pharmaceuticals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.17.

Enzon Pharmaceuticals after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.04  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Enzon Pharmaceuticals to cross-verify your projections.

Enzon Pharmaceuticals Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Enzon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Enzon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Enzon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Enzon Pharmaceuticals works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Enzon Pharmaceuticals Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Enzon Pharmaceuticals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000024, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Enzon OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Enzon Pharmaceuticals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Enzon Pharmaceuticals OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Enzon PharmaceuticalsEnzon Pharmaceuticals Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Enzon Pharmaceuticals Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Enzon Pharmaceuticals' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Enzon Pharmaceuticals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0004 and 9.26, respectively. We have considered Enzon Pharmaceuticals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.04
0.0004
Downside
0.04
Expected Value
9.26
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Enzon Pharmaceuticals otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Enzon Pharmaceuticals otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 6.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0028
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0552
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1663
When Enzon Pharmaceuticals prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Enzon Pharmaceuticals trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Enzon Pharmaceuticals observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Enzon Pharmaceuticals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Enzon Pharmaceuticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.049.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.049.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Enzon Pharmaceuticals. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Enzon Pharmaceuticals' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Enzon Pharmaceuticals' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Enzon Pharmaceuticals.

Other Forecasting Options for Enzon Pharmaceuticals

For every potential investor in Enzon, whether a beginner or expert, Enzon Pharmaceuticals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Enzon OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Enzon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Enzon Pharmaceuticals' price trends.

Enzon Pharmaceuticals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Enzon Pharmaceuticals otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Enzon Pharmaceuticals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Enzon Pharmaceuticals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Enzon Pharmaceuticals Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Enzon Pharmaceuticals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Enzon Pharmaceuticals' current price.

Enzon Pharmaceuticals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Enzon Pharmaceuticals otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Enzon Pharmaceuticals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Enzon Pharmaceuticals otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Enzon Pharmaceuticals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Enzon Pharmaceuticals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Enzon Pharmaceuticals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Enzon Pharmaceuticals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting enzon otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Enzon Pharmaceuticals

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Enzon Pharmaceuticals position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Enzon Pharmaceuticals will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Enzon OTC Stock

  0.74CHHE China Health IndustriesPairCorr

Moving against Enzon OTC Stock

  0.89IRNRF Iron Road LimitedPairCorr
  0.87DD Dupont De NemoursPairCorr
  0.77CAT CaterpillarPairCorr
  0.76CSCO Cisco SystemsPairCorr
  0.75AXP American ExpressPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Enzon Pharmaceuticals could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Enzon Pharmaceuticals when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Enzon Pharmaceuticals - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Enzon Pharmaceuticals to buy it.
The correlation of Enzon Pharmaceuticals is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Enzon Pharmaceuticals moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Enzon Pharmaceuticals moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Enzon Pharmaceuticals can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Enzon OTC Stock

Enzon Pharmaceuticals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Enzon OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Enzon with respect to the benefits of owning Enzon Pharmaceuticals security.