EON Resources Stock Forward View

EONR Stock   0.37  0.03  6.85%   
EON Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although EON Resources' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of EON Resources' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of EON Resources fundamentals over time.
As of today, the value of relative strength index of EON Resources' share price is approaching 44 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling EON Resources, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 44

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of EON Resources' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of EON Resources and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from EON Resources' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with EON Resources, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting EON Resources' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.57)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.04)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.35)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.21)
Wall Street Target Price
2
Using EON Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of EON Resources from the perspective of EON Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of EON Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.00.

EON Resources after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.38  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EON Resources to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in EON Stock, please use our How to Invest in EON Resources guide.

EON Resources Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine EON price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for EON using various technical indicators. When you analyze EON charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

EON Resources Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the EON Resources' financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
3.4 M
Current Value
1.9 M
Quarterly Volatility
1.3 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for EON Resources is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of EON Resources value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

EON Resources Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of EON Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict EON Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that EON Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

EON Resources Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest EON Resources  EON Resources Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

EON Resources Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting EON Resources' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. EON Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 5.58, respectively. We have considered EON Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.37
0.35
Expected Value
5.58
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of EON Resources stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent EON Resources stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.3255
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0164
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0392
SAESum of the absolute errors1.0018
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of EON Resources. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict EON Resources. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for EON Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EON Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.385.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.775.99
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.822.002.22
Details

EON Resources After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of EON Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in EON Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of EON Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

EON Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting EON Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on EON Resources' historical news coverage. EON Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 5.60, respectively. We have considered EON Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.37
0.38
After-hype Price
5.60
Upside
EON Resources is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of EON Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.

EON Resources Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as EON Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading EON Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with EON Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.36 
5.22
 0.00  
  0.02 
9 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.37
0.38
1.12 
52,200  
Notes

EON Resources Hype Timeline

EON Resources is currently traded for 0.37. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. EON is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.38 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is forecasted to be 1.12%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.36%. The volatility of related hype on EON Resources is about 9157.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.39. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 20.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (9.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.31 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EON Resources to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in EON Stock, please use our How to Invest in EON Resources guide.

EON Resources Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to EON Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict EON Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how EON Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how EON Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BATLBattalion Oil Corp 0.09 5 per month 5.38  0.11  9.17 (8.00) 235.37 
BANLCBL International Limited 0.03 9 per month 0.00 (0.17) 4.65 (7.69) 23.38 
MXCMexco Energy 0.09 8 per month 3.65  0.05  7.03 (7.22) 20.14 
TMDETMD Energy Limited 0.01 6 per month 6.52  0.03  8.00 (10.87) 160.91 
PNSkycorp Solar Group 0.03 7 per month 0.00 (0.03) 8.93 (7.89) 39.11 
CKXCKX Lands 0.30 8 per month 2.20  0.02  3.61 (3.43) 15.23 
SKYQSky Quarry(0.01)8 per month 8.86  0.02  17.65 (14.71) 125.89 
BRNBarnwell Industries 0.03 9 per month 0.00 (0.06) 7.38 (5.83) 19.84 
NINENine Energy Service 0.01 6 per month 7.49  0  17.02 (11.11) 40.03 
TPETTrio Petroleum Corp(0.01)8 per month 0.00 (0.11) 7.32 (7.95) 32.43 

Other Forecasting Options for EON Resources

For every potential investor in EON, whether a beginner or expert, EON Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. EON Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in EON. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying EON Resources' price trends.

EON Resources Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with EON Resources stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of EON Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EON Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

EON Resources Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how EON Resources stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading EON Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying EON Resources stock market strength indicators, traders can identify EON Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

EON Resources Risk Indicators

The analysis of EON Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in EON Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for EON Resources

The number of cover stories for EON Resources depends on current market conditions and EON Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that EON Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about EON Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

EON Resources Short Properties

EON Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when EON Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of EON Resources often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential EON Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EON Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.7 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM

Additional Tools for EON Stock Analysis

When running EON Resources' price analysis, check to measure EON Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EON Resources is operating at the current time. Most of EON Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EON Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EON Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EON Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.