Electro Optical Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Electro Optical Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000169 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0001. Electro Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Electro Optical stock prices and determine the direction of Electro Optical Systems's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Electro Optical's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Electro Optical works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Electro Optical Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Electro Optical Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000169, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0001.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Electro Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Electro Optical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Electro Optical Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Electro OpticalElectro Optical Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Electro Optical Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Electro Optical's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Electro Optical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Electro Optical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.00
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Electro Optical pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Electro Optical pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors1.0E-4
When Electro Optical Systems prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Electro Optical Systems trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Electro Optical observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Electro Optical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Electro Optical Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Electro Optical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Electro Optical

For every potential investor in Electro, whether a beginner or expert, Electro Optical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Electro Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Electro. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Electro Optical's price trends.

Electro Optical Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Electro Optical pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Electro Optical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Electro Optical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Electro Optical Systems Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Electro Optical's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Electro Optical's current price.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Electro Pink Sheet

Electro Optical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Electro Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Electro with respect to the benefits of owning Electro Optical security.