Epiroc AB Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

EPIPF Stock  USD 19.15  0.00  0.00%   
Epiroc Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Epiroc AB's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026 The relative strength index (RSI) of Epiroc AB's share price is above 80 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 100

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Epiroc AB's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Epiroc AB and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Epiroc AB's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Epiroc AB, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Epiroc AB hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Epiroc AB from the perspective of Epiroc AB response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Epiroc AB on the next trading day is expected to be 19.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.32.

Epiroc AB after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 19.15  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Epiroc AB to cross-verify your projections.

Epiroc AB Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Epiroc price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Epiroc using various technical indicators. When you analyze Epiroc charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Epiroc AB works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Epiroc AB Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Epiroc AB on the next trading day is expected to be 19.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.32.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Epiroc Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Epiroc AB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Epiroc AB Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Epiroc AB  Epiroc AB Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Epiroc AB Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Epiroc AB's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Epiroc AB's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.22 and 20.08, respectively. We have considered Epiroc AB's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
19.15
19.15
Expected Value
20.08
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Epiroc AB pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Epiroc AB pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0224
MADMean absolute deviation0.0224
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0012
SAESum of the absolute errors1.32
When Epiroc AB prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Epiroc AB trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Epiroc AB observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Epiroc AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Epiroc AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.2219.1520.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.8918.8219.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
19.1519.1519.15
Details

Epiroc AB After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Epiroc AB at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Epiroc AB or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Epiroc AB, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Epiroc AB Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Epiroc AB's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Epiroc AB's historical news coverage. Epiroc AB's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.22 and 20.08, respectively. We have considered Epiroc AB's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
19.15
19.15
After-hype Price
20.08
Upside
Epiroc AB is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Epiroc AB is based on 3 months time horizon.

Epiroc AB Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Epiroc AB is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Epiroc AB backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Epiroc AB, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
0.93
 0.00  
  0.08 
0 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
19.15
19.15
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Epiroc AB Hype Timeline

Epiroc AB is currently traded for 19.15. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.08. Epiroc is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Epiroc AB is about 140.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.23. About 71.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.69. Epiroc AB last dividend was issued on the 24th of May 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Epiroc AB to cross-verify your projections.

Epiroc AB Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Epiroc AB's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Epiroc AB's future price movements. Getting to know how Epiroc AB's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Epiroc AB may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
OUKPYMetso Outotec Corp 0.00 0 per month 1.76  0.18  3.67 (3.68) 16.77 
SMECFSMC Corp 0.00 0 per month 3.25  0.02  5.87 (6.66) 22.56 
SMCAYSMC Corp Japan 0.00 0 per month 2.15  0.05  4.31 (3.36) 12.27 
IHICFIHI Corporation 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.05  0.00  0.00  23.07 
MTUAYMTU Aero Engines 2.72 12 per month 1.08 (0) 2.46 (1.68) 7.00 
VEOEFVeolia Environnement SA 1.18 22 per month 1.66 (0.02) 4.12 (4.65) 10.11 
GBERYGeberit AG ADR(0.02)4 per month 1.32 (0.06) 1.59 (2.13) 7.55 
TTNDFTechtronic Industries 2.72 4 per month 2.49  0.05  6.75 (5.49) 15.51 
KHNGFKuehne Nagel International 0.00 0 per month 1.30  0.12  5.27 (1.68) 15.38 
HOCFFHOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft 0.00 0 per month 2.42  0.16  4.66 (4.46) 12.58 

Other Forecasting Options for Epiroc AB

For every potential investor in Epiroc, whether a beginner or expert, Epiroc AB's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Epiroc Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Epiroc. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Epiroc AB's price trends.

Epiroc AB Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Epiroc AB pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Epiroc AB could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Epiroc AB by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Epiroc AB Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Epiroc AB pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Epiroc AB shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Epiroc AB pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Epiroc AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Epiroc AB Risk Indicators

The analysis of Epiroc AB's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Epiroc AB's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting epiroc pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Epiroc AB

The number of cover stories for Epiroc AB depends on current market conditions and Epiroc AB's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Epiroc AB is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Epiroc AB's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Epiroc Pink Sheet

Epiroc AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Epiroc Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Epiroc with respect to the benefits of owning Epiroc AB security.