Environmental Packaging Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

EPTI Stock  USD 0  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Environmental Packaging Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Environmental Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Environmental Packaging's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The Environmental Packaging's current Receivables Turnover is estimated to increase to 6.22, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 4.71. . The Environmental Packaging's current Net Loss is estimated to increase to about (1.3 M).

Environmental Packaging Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Environmental Packaging's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
329.7 K
Current Value
584.7 K
Quarterly Volatility
296 K
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Environmental Packaging is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Environmental Packaging Technologies value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Environmental Packaging Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Environmental Packaging Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Environmental Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Environmental Packaging's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Environmental Packaging Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Environmental PackagingEnvironmental Packaging Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Environmental Packaging Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Environmental Packaging's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Environmental Packaging's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 0, respectively. We have considered Environmental Packaging's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0
0
Expected Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Environmental Packaging stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Environmental Packaging stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria36.8418
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Environmental Packaging Technologies. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Environmental Packaging. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Environmental Packaging

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Environmental Packaging. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Environmental Packaging's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.0000.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.0000.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Environmental Packaging

For every potential investor in Environmental, whether a beginner or expert, Environmental Packaging's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Environmental Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Environmental. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Environmental Packaging's price trends.

Environmental Packaging Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Environmental Packaging stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Environmental Packaging could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Environmental Packaging by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Environmental Packaging Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Environmental Packaging's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Environmental Packaging's current price.

Environmental Packaging Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Environmental Packaging stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Environmental Packaging shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Environmental Packaging stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Environmental Packaging Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Environmental Packaging offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Environmental Packaging's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Environmental Packaging Technologies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Environmental Packaging Technologies Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Environmental Packaging to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Packaging & Containers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Environmental Packaging. If investors know Environmental will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Environmental Packaging listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(2.19)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.31)
Return On Assets
(0.23)
The market value of Environmental Packaging is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Environmental that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Environmental Packaging's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Environmental Packaging's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Environmental Packaging's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Environmental Packaging's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Environmental Packaging's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Environmental Packaging is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Environmental Packaging's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.