Equatorial Energia Pink Sheet Forward View
| EQUEY Stock | USD 7.71 0.00 0.00% |
Equatorial Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Equatorial Energia's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Equatorial Energia hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Equatorial Energia SA from the perspective of Equatorial Energia response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Equatorial Energia SA on the next trading day is expected to be 7.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.13. Equatorial Energia after-hype prediction price | USD 7.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Equatorial |
Equatorial Energia Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Equatorial price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Equatorial using various technical indicators. When you analyze Equatorial charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Equatorial Energia Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Equatorial Energia SA on the next trading day is expected to be 7.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.13.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Equatorial Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Equatorial Energia's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Equatorial Energia Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Equatorial Energia | Equatorial Energia Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Equatorial Energia Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Equatorial Energia's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Equatorial Energia's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.25 and 11.34, respectively. We have considered Equatorial Energia's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Equatorial Energia pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Equatorial Energia pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.099 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1824 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0255 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.1283 |
Predictive Modules for Equatorial Energia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Equatorial Energia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Equatorial Energia's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Equatorial Energia After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Equatorial Energia at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Equatorial Energia or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Equatorial Energia, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Equatorial Energia Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Equatorial Energia's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Equatorial Energia's historical news coverage. Equatorial Energia's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.16 and 11.26, respectively. We have considered Equatorial Energia's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Equatorial Energia is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Equatorial Energia is based on 3 months time horizon.
Equatorial Energia Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Equatorial Energia is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Equatorial Energia backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Equatorial Energia, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 3.55 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
7.71 | 7.71 | 0.00 |
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Equatorial Energia Hype Timeline
Equatorial Energia is currently traded for 7.71. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.05. Equatorial is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.27%. %. The volatility of related hype on Equatorial Energia is about 1918.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.76. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.81. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Equatorial Energia last dividend was issued on the 27th of May 2022. The entity had 5:1 split on the 6th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Equatorial Energia to cross-verify your projections.Equatorial Energia Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Equatorial Energia's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Equatorial Energia's future price movements. Getting to know how Equatorial Energia's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Equatorial Energia may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UEPCN | Union Electric | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.26 | (0.24) | 6.07 | |
| FORFF | Fortis Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.41 | |
| AEE | Ameren Corp | 1.11 | 9 per month | 0.96 | 0.01 | 1.23 | (1.45) | 5.74 | |
| IESFY | Interconnection Electric SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.04 | 0.09 | 12.71 | (10.09) | 29.54 | |
| HKVTY | HK Electric Investments | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HPIFF | Huadian Power International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Equatorial Energia
For every potential investor in Equatorial, whether a beginner or expert, Equatorial Energia's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Equatorial Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Equatorial. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Equatorial Energia's price trends.Equatorial Energia Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Equatorial Energia pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Equatorial Energia could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Equatorial Energia by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Equatorial Energia Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Equatorial Energia pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Equatorial Energia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Equatorial Energia pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Equatorial Energia SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Equatorial Energia Risk Indicators
The analysis of Equatorial Energia's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Equatorial Energia's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting equatorial pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.46 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.59 | |||
| Variance | 12.87 | |||
| Downside Variance | 54.76 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.04 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.47) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Equatorial Energia
The number of cover stories for Equatorial Energia depends on current market conditions and Equatorial Energia's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Equatorial Energia is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Equatorial Energia's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Equatorial Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Equatorial Energia's price analysis, check to measure Equatorial Energia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Equatorial Energia is operating at the current time. Most of Equatorial Energia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Equatorial Energia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Equatorial Energia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Equatorial Energia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.