Telefonaktiebolaget Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ERCG Stock | EUR 7.73 0.21 2.79% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson on the next trading day is expected to be 7.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.42. Telefonaktiebolaget Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Telefonaktiebolaget's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Telefonaktiebolaget |
Telefonaktiebolaget Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson on the next trading day is expected to be 7.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.42.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Telefonaktiebolaget Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Telefonaktiebolaget's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Telefonaktiebolaget Stock Forecast Pattern
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Telefonaktiebolaget Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Telefonaktiebolaget's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Telefonaktiebolaget's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.78 and 10.68, respectively. We have considered Telefonaktiebolaget's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Telefonaktiebolaget stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Telefonaktiebolaget stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.9147 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.039 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0903 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0132 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.42 |
Predictive Modules for Telefonaktiebolaget
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Telefonaktiebolaget. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Telefonaktiebolaget
For every potential investor in Telefonaktiebolaget, whether a beginner or expert, Telefonaktiebolaget's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Telefonaktiebolaget Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Telefonaktiebolaget. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Telefonaktiebolaget's price trends.Telefonaktiebolaget Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Telefonaktiebolaget stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Telefonaktiebolaget could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Telefonaktiebolaget by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Telefonaktiebolaget Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Telefonaktiebolaget's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Telefonaktiebolaget's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Telefonaktiebolaget Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Telefonaktiebolaget stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Telefonaktiebolaget shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Telefonaktiebolaget stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 7.73 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 7.73 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.11 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.21 |
Telefonaktiebolaget Risk Indicators
The analysis of Telefonaktiebolaget's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Telefonaktiebolaget's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting telefonaktiebolaget stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.4912 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.93 | |||
| Variance | 8.57 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.54 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.2413 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.79) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Telefonaktiebolaget Stock
When determining whether Telefonaktiebolaget offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Telefonaktiebolaget's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Telefonaktiebolaget Lm Ericsson Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Telefonaktiebolaget Lm Ericsson Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Telefonaktiebolaget to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.