Erie Indemnity Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| ERIE Stock | USD 287.71 2.09 0.73% |
Erie Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Erie Indemnity stock prices and determine the direction of Erie Indemnity's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Erie Indemnity's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength indicator of Erie Indemnity's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.144 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.09 | EPS Estimate Current Year 11.08 | EPS Estimate Next Year 14.01 | Wall Street Target Price 115 |
Using Erie Indemnity hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Erie Indemnity from the perspective of Erie Indemnity response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Erie Indemnity using Erie Indemnity's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Erie using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Erie Indemnity's stock price.
Erie Indemnity Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Erie Indemnity's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Erie. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Erie Indemnity stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 325.7065 | Short Percent 0.0835 | Short Ratio 12.77 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.2 M | 50 Day MA 285.0088 |
Erie Relative Strength Index
Erie Indemnity Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Erie Indemnity's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Erie. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Erie can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Erie Indemnity. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Erie Indemnity's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Erie Indemnity.
Erie Indemnity Implied Volatility | 0.63 |
Erie Indemnity's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Erie Indemnity stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Erie Indemnity's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Erie Indemnity stock will not fluctuate a lot when Erie Indemnity's options are near their expiration.
Erie Indemnity after-hype prediction price | USD 287.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Erie Indemnity to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Erie contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Erie Indemnity will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0394% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Erie Indemnity trading at USD 287.71, that is roughly USD 0.11 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Erie Indemnity's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Erie Indemnity options at the current volatility level of 0.63%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Erie Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Erie Indemnity's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Erie Indemnity's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Erie Indemnity stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Erie Indemnity's open interest, investors have to compare it to Erie Indemnity's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Erie Indemnity is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Erie. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Erie Indemnity Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Erie price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Erie using various technical indicators. When you analyze Erie charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 5157.73 | 0.0268 |
| Check Erie Indemnity Volatility | Backtest Erie Indemnity | Information Ratio |
Erie Indemnity Trading Date Momentum
| On February 08 2026 Erie Indemnity was traded for 287.71 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 292.69 and the lowest listed price was 284.86 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on February 8, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 0.12% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Erie Indemnity to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Erie Indemnity
For every potential investor in Erie, whether a beginner or expert, Erie Indemnity's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Erie Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Erie. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Erie Indemnity's price trends.Erie Indemnity Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Erie Indemnity stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Erie Indemnity could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Erie Indemnity by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Erie Indemnity Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Erie Indemnity stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Erie Indemnity shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Erie Indemnity stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Erie Indemnity entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Erie Indemnity Risk Indicators
The analysis of Erie Indemnity's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Erie Indemnity's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting erie stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.82 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Variance | 2.5 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.46 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.3 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.09) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Erie Indemnity
The number of cover stories for Erie Indemnity depends on current market conditions and Erie Indemnity's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Erie Indemnity is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Erie Indemnity's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Erie Indemnity Short Properties
Erie Indemnity's future price predictability will typically decrease when Erie Indemnity's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Erie Indemnity often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Erie Indemnity's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Erie Indemnity's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 319.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Erie Indemnity to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Erie Stock refer to our How to Trade Erie Stock guide.You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Will Property & Casualty Insurance sector continue expanding? Could Erie diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Erie Indemnity. Projected growth potential of Erie fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Erie Indemnity data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.144 | Dividend Share 5.46 | Earnings Share 12.39 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.067 |
Erie Indemnity's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Erie's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Erie Indemnity's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Erie Indemnity's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Erie Indemnity's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Erie Indemnity should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Erie Indemnity's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.