IShares ESG ETF Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average
| ESGU ETF | USD 160.45 1.16 0.73% |
IShares ESG's 4 Period Moving Average forecast is computed from observed closing prices over the selected horizon. The accuracy statistics below distinguish a well-fitted model from one that is smoothing over meaningful price movement. The 4 Period Moving Average model projects IShares ESG at 160.02 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. The 4 Period Moving Average output reflects statistical model results and is provided for reference purposes.
4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 11th of May 2026
Over a 90-day horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average model forecasts IShares ESG at 160.02 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 1.55 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.01 , and sum of absolute errors of 88.55 .This represents a very tight forecast — the model closely tracks IShares ESG's recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
ETF Forecast Pattern
| Backtest IShares ESG | IShares ESG Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast range for IShares ESG defines statistically derived downside and upside boundaries based on model performance. The current forecast range spans downside near 159.08 and upside near 160.95. The narrow range indicates limited short-term dispersion.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 4 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for IShares ESG ETF. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.0754 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.5214 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.5536 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0105 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 88.555 |
Other Forecasting Options for IShares ESG
Analyzing IShares ESG's price movement through moving averages at different time horizons reveals whether short-term momentum aligns with the longer-term trend. Touches of the upper or lower band in IShares ESG's chart signal overbought or oversold conditions.IShares ESG Comparable Funds
The related funds below provide a category-based comparison set for IShares ESG's. Looking across similar funds helps show whether IShares ESG's pricing and risk profile are typical for the category.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
IShares ESG Market Strength Events
For investors tracking iShares ESG Aware, market strength indicators offer quantitative evaluation of ETF behavior. When Rate of Change diverges from price direction, it often signals weakening momentum before a visible reversal in IShares ESG.
IShares ESG Risk Indicators
Analyzing IShares ESG's basic risk indicators provides a structured view of the risk-return trade-off for ishares esg etf. Expected shortfall estimates the average loss in the worst-case tail scenarios, going beyond what standard deviation alone captures for IShares ESG.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7463 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7942 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9663 | |||
| Variance | 0.9337 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.8333 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6308 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.82 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.