Sinergi Inti Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| ESIP Stock | IDR 79.00 6.00 7.06% |
Sinergi Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, the value of RSI of Sinergi Inti's share price is approaching 35 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sinergi Inti, making its price go up or down. Momentum 35
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Sinergi Inti hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sinergi Inti Plastindo from the perspective of Sinergi Inti response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Sinergi Inti Plastindo on the next trading day is expected to be 77.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 237.78. Sinergi Inti after-hype prediction price | IDR 79.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sinergi |
Sinergi Inti Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sinergi price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sinergi using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sinergi charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sinergi Inti Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Sinergi Inti Plastindo on the next trading day is expected to be 77.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.90, mean absolute percentage error of 36.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 237.78.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sinergi Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sinergi Inti's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sinergi Inti Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sinergi Inti | Sinergi Inti Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Sinergi Inti Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sinergi Inti's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sinergi Inti's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 70.91 and 84.67, respectively. We have considered Sinergi Inti's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sinergi Inti stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sinergi Inti stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.7017 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.8981 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0464 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 237.7819 |
Predictive Modules for Sinergi Inti
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sinergi Inti Plastindo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sinergi Inti After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sinergi Inti at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sinergi Inti or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sinergi Inti, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sinergi Inti Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sinergi Inti's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sinergi Inti's historical news coverage. Sinergi Inti's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 72.12 and 85.88, respectively. We have considered Sinergi Inti's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sinergi Inti is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sinergi Inti Plastindo is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sinergi Inti Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sinergi Inti is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sinergi Inti backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sinergi Inti, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 6.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
79.00 | 79.00 | 0.00 |
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Sinergi Inti Hype Timeline
Sinergi Inti Plastindo is currently traded for 79.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Sinergi is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sinergi Inti is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 79.00. About 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 1st of September 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sinergi Inti to cross-verify your projections.Sinergi Inti Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sinergi Inti's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sinergi Inti's future price movements. Getting to know how Sinergi Inti's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sinergi Inti may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KICI | Kedaung Indah Can | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.92 | (0.01) | 13.39 | (12.03) | 38.86 | |
| GRPH | PT Griptha Putra | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.07 | (0.02) | 5.00 | (3.45) | 14.38 | |
| BATA | Sepatu Bata Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.61 | 0.01 | 9.76 | (9.78) | 20.00 | |
| BIMA | Primarindo Asia Infrastructure | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SPRE | PT Soraya Berjaya | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.71 | (0.0002) | 9.88 | (9.86) | 19.95 | |
| HADE | Himalaya Energi Perkasa | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.14 | 0.06 | 8.82 | (9.09) | 20.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sinergi Inti
For every potential investor in Sinergi, whether a beginner or expert, Sinergi Inti's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sinergi Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sinergi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sinergi Inti's price trends.Sinergi Inti Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sinergi Inti stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sinergi Inti could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sinergi Inti by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sinergi Inti Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sinergi Inti stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sinergi Inti shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sinergi Inti stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sinergi Inti Plastindo entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Sinergi Inti Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sinergi Inti's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sinergi Inti's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sinergi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.39 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.28 | |||
| Variance | 53.07 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sinergi Inti
The number of cover stories for Sinergi Inti depends on current market conditions and Sinergi Inti's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sinergi Inti is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sinergi Inti's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sinergi Inti Short Properties
Sinergi Inti's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sinergi Inti's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sinergi Inti Plastindo often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sinergi Inti's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sinergi Inti's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 773.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 B |
Other Information on Investing in Sinergi Stock
Sinergi Inti financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sinergi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sinergi with respect to the benefits of owning Sinergi Inti security.