Logistics Development Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

ESLGF Stock  USD 0.23  0.00  0.00%   
Logistics Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Logistics Development's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 1st of February 2026 The relative strength index (RSI) of Logistics Development's share price is above 80 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 100

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Logistics Development's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Logistics Development and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Logistics Development's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Logistics Development Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Logistics Development hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Logistics Development Group from the perspective of Logistics Development response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Logistics Development Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0007 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.04.

Logistics Development after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.23  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Logistics Development to cross-verify your projections.

Logistics Development Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Logistics price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Logistics using various technical indicators. When you analyze Logistics charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Logistics Development simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Logistics Development Group are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Logistics Development prices get older.

Logistics Development Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Logistics Development Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0007, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000027, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Logistics Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Logistics Development's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Logistics Development Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Logistics Development  Logistics Development Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Logistics Development Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Logistics Development's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Logistics Development's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 2.88, respectively. We have considered Logistics Development's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.23
0.23
Expected Value
2.88
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Logistics Development pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Logistics Development pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.7405
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -7.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation7.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0029
SAESum of the absolute errors0.04
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Logistics Development Group forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Logistics Development observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Logistics Development

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Logistics Development. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.232.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.182.83
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Logistics Development. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Logistics Development's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Logistics Development's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Logistics Development.

Logistics Development After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Logistics Development at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Logistics Development or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Logistics Development, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Logistics Development Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Logistics Development's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Logistics Development's historical news coverage. Logistics Development's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 2.88, respectively. We have considered Logistics Development's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.23
0.23
After-hype Price
2.88
Upside
Logistics Development is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Logistics Development is based on 3 months time horizon.

Logistics Development Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Logistics Development is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Logistics Development backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Logistics Development, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.33 
2.65
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.23
0.23
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Logistics Development Hype Timeline

Logistics Development is currently traded for 0.23. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Logistics is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.33%. %. The volatility of related hype on Logistics Development is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.23. About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.9. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Logistics Development had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Logistics Development to cross-verify your projections.

Logistics Development Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Logistics Development's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Logistics Development's future price movements. Getting to know how Logistics Development's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Logistics Development may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
YTOEFYTO Express Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
KARXKARX 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 11.11 (14.00) 46.05 
HRBRHarbor Diversified 0.00 0 per month 8.05  0.11  17.14 (10.53) 85.80 
TTNMFToho Titanium Co 0.00 0 per month 1.47  0.15  7.69 (2.08) 33.69 
WTLLFWater Intelligence plc 0.00 0 per month 2.80  0.06  7.69 (4.88) 29.30 
NOKPFNok Airlines Public 0.00 0 per month 23.78  0.13  66.67 (66.00) 233.33 
EMFGFFluence Limited 0.00 0 per month 6.54  0.08  25.00 (13.01) 86.02 
CEBUYCebu Air ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ASFHAsiaFIN Holdings Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.01  0.00  0.00  72.87 
HPURFHexagon Purus ASA 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 0.00  0.00  27.78 

Other Forecasting Options for Logistics Development

For every potential investor in Logistics, whether a beginner or expert, Logistics Development's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Logistics Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Logistics. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Logistics Development's price trends.

Logistics Development Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Logistics Development pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Logistics Development could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Logistics Development by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Logistics Development Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Logistics Development pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Logistics Development shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Logistics Development pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Logistics Development Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Logistics Development Risk Indicators

The analysis of Logistics Development's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Logistics Development's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting logistics pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Logistics Development

The number of cover stories for Logistics Development depends on current market conditions and Logistics Development's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Logistics Development is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Logistics Development's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Logistics Pink Sheet

Logistics Development financial ratios help investors to determine whether Logistics Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Logistics with respect to the benefits of owning Logistics Development security.