Environmmtl Tectonic Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

ETCC Stock  USD 1.00  0.05  4.76%   
Environmmtl Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Environmmtl Tectonic stock prices and determine the direction of Environmmtl Tectonic's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Environmmtl Tectonic's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Environmmtl Tectonic's share price is approaching 33 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Environmmtl Tectonic, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 33

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Environmmtl Tectonic's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Environmmtl Tectonic, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Environmmtl Tectonic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Environmmtl Tectonic from the perspective of Environmmtl Tectonic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Environmmtl Tectonic on the next trading day is expected to be 1.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.88.

Environmmtl Tectonic after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Environmmtl Tectonic to cross-verify your projections.

Environmmtl Tectonic Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Environmmtl price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Environmmtl using various technical indicators. When you analyze Environmmtl charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Environmmtl Tectonic price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Environmmtl Tectonic Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Environmmtl Tectonic on the next trading day is expected to be 1.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.88.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Environmmtl Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Environmmtl Tectonic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Environmmtl Tectonic Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Environmmtl Tectonic  Environmmtl Tectonic Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Environmmtl Tectonic Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Environmmtl Tectonic's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Environmmtl Tectonic's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.47, respectively. We have considered Environmmtl Tectonic's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.00
1.26
Expected Value
4.47
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Environmmtl Tectonic pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Environmmtl Tectonic pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.7985
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0963
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0777
SAESum of the absolute errors5.8767
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Environmmtl Tectonic historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Environmmtl Tectonic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Environmmtl Tectonic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Environmmtl Tectonic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.004.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.944.18
Details

Environmmtl Tectonic After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Environmmtl Tectonic at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Environmmtl Tectonic or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Environmmtl Tectonic, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Environmmtl Tectonic Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Environmmtl Tectonic's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Environmmtl Tectonic's historical news coverage. Environmmtl Tectonic's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 4.24, respectively. We have considered Environmmtl Tectonic's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.00
1.00
After-hype Price
4.24
Upside
Environmmtl Tectonic is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Environmmtl Tectonic is based on 3 months time horizon.

Environmmtl Tectonic Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Environmmtl Tectonic is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Environmmtl Tectonic backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Environmmtl Tectonic, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
3.21
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.00
1.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Environmmtl Tectonic Hype Timeline

Environmmtl Tectonic is currently traded for 1.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Environmmtl is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Environmmtl Tectonic is about 32100.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.00. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.49. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Environmmtl Tectonic had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 2:1 split on the 28th of May 1999. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Environmmtl Tectonic to cross-verify your projections.

Environmmtl Tectonic Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Environmmtl Tectonic's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Environmmtl Tectonic's future price movements. Getting to know how Environmmtl Tectonic's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Environmmtl Tectonic may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BNETBion Environmental Technologies 0.00 0 per month 9.34  0.05  17.65 (15.79) 72.86 
TIKKTel Instrument Electronics Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.06  16.03  0.00  80.52 
INTWFSharc International Systems 0.00 0 per month 7.81  0.05  18.87 (15.07) 61.11 
EFTIEarthfirst Techs 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
DOCKFBeyond Medical Technologies(0.10)8 per month 18.83  0.13  93.33 (54.55) 381.88 
CHSTYChina High Speed 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.10  0.00  0.00  33.81 
PRBCFPrecise Biometrics AB 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ALXXFAvante Logixx 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.16  0.00  0.00  48.89 
HUIPFHydrogen Utopia International 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  15.38  0.00  56.93 
AWAWWhite Fox Ventures 0.00 0 per month 15.22  0.16  70.00 (41.18) 279.49 

Other Forecasting Options for Environmmtl Tectonic

For every potential investor in Environmmtl, whether a beginner or expert, Environmmtl Tectonic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Environmmtl Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Environmmtl. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Environmmtl Tectonic's price trends.

Environmmtl Tectonic Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Environmmtl Tectonic pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Environmmtl Tectonic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Environmmtl Tectonic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Environmmtl Tectonic Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Environmmtl Tectonic pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Environmmtl Tectonic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Environmmtl Tectonic pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Environmmtl Tectonic entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Environmmtl Tectonic Risk Indicators

The analysis of Environmmtl Tectonic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Environmmtl Tectonic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting environmmtl pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Environmmtl Tectonic

The number of cover stories for Environmmtl Tectonic depends on current market conditions and Environmmtl Tectonic's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Environmmtl Tectonic is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Environmmtl Tectonic's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Information on Investing in Environmmtl Pink Sheet

Environmmtl Tectonic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Environmmtl Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Environmmtl with respect to the benefits of owning Environmmtl Tectonic security.