Grayscale Ethereum Etf Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| ETH Etf | USD 25.28 1.18 4.46% |
Grayscale Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Grayscale Ethereum's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of February 2026, the relative strength momentum indicator of Grayscale Ethereum's share price is approaching 40 suggesting that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Grayscale Ethereum, making its price go up or down. Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Grayscale Ethereum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Grayscale Ethereum Mini from the perspective of Grayscale Ethereum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Grayscale Ethereum using Grayscale Ethereum's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Grayscale using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Grayscale Ethereum's stock price.
Grayscale Ethereum Implied Volatility | 0.65 |
Grayscale Ethereum's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Grayscale Ethereum Mini stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Grayscale Ethereum's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Grayscale Ethereum stock will not fluctuate a lot when Grayscale Ethereum's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Grayscale Ethereum Mini on the next trading day is expected to be 24.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.82.
Grayscale Ethereum after-hype prediction price | USD 0.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Grayscale contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Grayscale Ethereum Mini will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0406% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Grayscale Ethereum trading at USD 25.28, that is roughly USD 0.0103 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Grayscale Ethereum's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Grayscale Ethereum Mini options at the current volatility level of 0.65%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Grayscale Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Grayscale Ethereum's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Grayscale Ethereum's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Grayscale Ethereum stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Grayscale Ethereum's open interest, investors have to compare it to Grayscale Ethereum's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Grayscale Ethereum is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Grayscale. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Grayscale Ethereum Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Grayscale price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Grayscale using various technical indicators. When you analyze Grayscale charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Grayscale Ethereum Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Grayscale Ethereum Mini on the next trading day is expected to be 24.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.03, mean absolute percentage error of 1.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.82.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Grayscale Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Grayscale Ethereum's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Grayscale Ethereum Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Grayscale Ethereum | Grayscale Ethereum Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Grayscale Ethereum Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Grayscale Ethereum's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Grayscale Ethereum's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.50 and 28.77, respectively. We have considered Grayscale Ethereum's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Grayscale Ethereum etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Grayscale Ethereum etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1984 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0308 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0356 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 60.8151 |
Predictive Modules for Grayscale Ethereum
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grayscale Ethereum Mini. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grayscale Ethereum's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Grayscale Ethereum After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Grayscale Ethereum at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Grayscale Ethereum or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Grayscale Ethereum, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Grayscale Ethereum Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Grayscale Ethereum's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Grayscale Ethereum's historical news coverage. Grayscale Ethereum's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 4.30, respectively. We have considered Grayscale Ethereum's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Grayscale Ethereum is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Grayscale Ethereum Mini is based on 3 months time horizon.
Grayscale Ethereum Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Grayscale Ethereum is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Grayscale Ethereum backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Grayscale Ethereum, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 4.14 | 0.19 | 0.51 | 7 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
25.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
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Grayscale Ethereum Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of February Grayscale Ethereum Mini is traded for 25.28. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.19, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.51. Grayscale is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on Grayscale Ethereum is about 171.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.77. About 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.87. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Grayscale Ethereum Mini has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.42. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of May 2021. The firm had 3:2 split on the 24th of May 1999. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Grayscale Ethereum to cross-verify your projections.Grayscale Ethereum Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Grayscale Ethereum's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Grayscale Ethereum's future price movements. Getting to know how Grayscale Ethereum's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Grayscale Ethereum may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OAKEX | Oakmark International Small | (0.13) | 1 per month | 0.71 | 0.05 | 1.44 | (1.33) | 6.92 | |
| GTSVX | Invesco Small Cap | 3.37 | 1 per month | 1.33 | 0.06 | 2.29 | (2.67) | 11.56 | |
| PZIEX | Pzena Emerging Markets | 0.09 | 1 per month | 0.40 | 0.28 | 1.55 | (1.40) | 3.35 | |
| VDEQX | Vanguard Diversified Equity | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.86 | (0.05) | 1.23 | (1.36) | 3.64 | |
| ARTGX | Artisan Global Value | (0.08) | 2 per month | 0.38 | 0.16 | 1.16 | (0.80) | 5.49 | |
| APHGX | Artisan Global Value | (7.13) | 5 per month | 0.37 | 0.16 | 1.20 | (0.80) | 5.18 | |
| APHJX | Artisan International Small | 5.35 | 9 per month | 0.71 | 0.04 | 1.20 | (1.29) | 8.18 | |
| IPOAX | Ivy Emerging Markets | (2.15) | 8 per month | 0.42 | 0.18 | 1.80 | (1.16) | 10.13 | |
| APDGX | Artisan Global Value | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.37 | 0.16 | 1.20 | (0.80) | 5.27 | |
| ARGFX | Ariel Fund Investor | (23.52) | 1 per month | 0.83 | 0.13 | 2.50 | (1.75) | 14.55 |
Other Forecasting Options for Grayscale Ethereum
For every potential investor in Grayscale, whether a beginner or expert, Grayscale Ethereum's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Grayscale Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Grayscale. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Grayscale Ethereum's price trends.Grayscale Ethereum Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Grayscale Ethereum etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Grayscale Ethereum could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Grayscale Ethereum by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Grayscale Ethereum Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Grayscale Ethereum etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Grayscale Ethereum shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Grayscale Ethereum etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Grayscale Ethereum Mini entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Grayscale Ethereum Risk Indicators
The analysis of Grayscale Ethereum's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Grayscale Ethereum's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting grayscale etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.45 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.41 | |||
| Variance | 19.41 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Grayscale Ethereum
The number of cover stories for Grayscale Ethereum depends on current market conditions and Grayscale Ethereum's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Grayscale Ethereum is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Grayscale Ethereum's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Grayscale Ethereum to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
The market value of Grayscale Ethereum Mini is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Grayscale that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Grayscale Ethereum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Grayscale Ethereum's true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Grayscale Ethereum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Grayscale Ethereum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Grayscale Ethereum's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Grayscale Ethereum should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Grayscale Ethereum's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.