Eventide Large Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

ETLAX Fund  USD 15.25  0.07  0.46%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Eventide Large Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 15.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.01. Eventide Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Eventide Large simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Eventide Large Cap are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Eventide Large Cap prices get older.

Eventide Large Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Eventide Large Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 15.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.01.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Eventide Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Eventide Large's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Eventide Large Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Eventide LargeEventide Large Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Eventide Large Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Eventide Large's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Eventide Large's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.55 and 15.95, respectively. We have considered Eventide Large's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.25
15.25
Expected Value
15.95
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Eventide Large mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Eventide Large mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.7421
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0178
MADMean absolute deviation0.0835
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0056
SAESum of the absolute errors5.01
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Eventide Large Cap forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Eventide Large observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Eventide Large

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eventide Large Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.5515.2515.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.4215.1215.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14.7715.1115.45
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Eventide Large. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Eventide Large's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Eventide Large's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Eventide Large Cap.

Other Forecasting Options for Eventide Large

For every potential investor in Eventide, whether a beginner or expert, Eventide Large's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Eventide Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Eventide. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Eventide Large's price trends.

Eventide Large Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Eventide Large mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Eventide Large could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Eventide Large by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Eventide Large Cap Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Eventide Large's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Eventide Large's current price.

Eventide Large Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Eventide Large mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Eventide Large shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Eventide Large mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Eventide Large Cap entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Eventide Large Risk Indicators

The analysis of Eventide Large's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Eventide Large's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eventide mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Eventide Mutual Fund

Eventide Large financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eventide Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eventide with respect to the benefits of owning Eventide Large security.
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Analyst Advice
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Commodity Directory
Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges
FinTech Suite
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities