ETP Crypto Coin Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

ETP Crypto  USD 0.01  0  37.07%   
ETP Crypto Coin outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast ETP crypto prices and determine the direction of ETP's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of ETP's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the rsi of ETP's share price is below 20 suggesting that the crypto coin is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of ETP's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ETP, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using ETP hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ETP from the perspective of ETP response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ETP on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000051 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

ETP after-hype prediction price

    
  .CC 0.006667  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as crypto price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ETP to cross-verify your projections.

ETP Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ETP price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ETP using various technical indicators. When you analyze ETP charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
ETP simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for ETP are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as ETP prices get older.

ETP Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ETP on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000051, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000016, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ETP Crypto Coin prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ETP's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ETP Crypto Coin Forecast Pattern

ETP Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ETP's Crypto Coin value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ETP's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000053 and 4.68, respectively. We have considered ETP's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.01
0.000053
Downside
0.01
Expected Value
4.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ETP crypto coin data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ETP crypto coin, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.4495
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation1.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0097
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0031
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting ETP forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent ETP observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for ETP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ETP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.014.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.014.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-0.010.010.01
Details

ETP After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of ETP at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ETP or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Crypto Coin prices, such as prices of ETP, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

ETP Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting ETP's crypto coin value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ETP's historical news coverage. ETP's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 4.68, respectively. We have considered ETP's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.01
0.01
After-hype Price
4.68
Upside
ETP is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ETP is based on 3 months time horizon.

ETP Crypto Coin Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Cryptocurrency such as ETP is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ETP backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Crypto price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ETP, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.59 
4.67
 0.00  
  0.01 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.01
0.01
26.54 
0.00  
Notes

ETP Hype Timeline

ETP is currently traded for 0.01. This cryptocurrency is not elastic to its hype. The average crypto elasticity to the hype of similar coins is 0.01. ETP is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.006667 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price growth on the next news is anticipated to be 26.54%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.59%. The volatility of related hype on ETP is about 19025.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.02. Debt can assist ETP until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, ETP's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like ETP sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ETP to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about ETP's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ETP to cross-verify your projections.

ETP Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to ETP's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ETP's future price movements. Getting to know how ETP's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ETP may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for ETP

For every potential investor in ETP, whether a beginner or expert, ETP's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ETP Crypto Coin price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ETP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ETP's price trends.

ETP Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ETP crypto coin to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ETP could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ETP by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ETP Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ETP crypto coin reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ETP shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ETP crypto coin market strength indicators, traders can identify ETP entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ETP Risk Indicators

The analysis of ETP's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ETP's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting etp crypto coin prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for ETP

The number of cover stories for ETP depends on current market conditions and ETP's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ETP is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ETP's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
When determining whether ETP offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of ETP's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Etp Crypto.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ETP to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ETP's coin value and its market price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Cryptocurrency investors typically determine ETP value by looking at such factors as its true mass adoption, usability, application, safety as well as its ability to resist fraud and manipulation. On the other hand, ETP's price is the amount at which it trades on the cryptocurrency exchange or other digital marketplace that truly represents its supply and demand.