Entergy Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ETR Stock | USD 93.54 2.19 2.29% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Entergy on the next trading day is expected to be 94.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.79. Entergy Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Entergy's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Entergy's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Entergy fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Entergy's share price is approaching 48 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Entergy, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.02 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5824 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.9138 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.398 | Wall Street Target Price 105.2373 |
Using Entergy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Entergy from the perspective of Entergy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Entergy using Entergy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Entergy using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Entergy's stock price.
Entergy Short Interest
An investor who is long Entergy may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Entergy and may potentially protect profits, hedge Entergy with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 88.8673 | Short Percent 0.0324 | Short Ratio 4.69 | Shares Short Prior Month 11.8 M | 50 Day MA 94.0174 |
Entergy Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Entergy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Entergy. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Entergy can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Entergy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Entergy Implied Volatility | 0.51 |
Entergy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Entergy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Entergy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Entergy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Entergy's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Entergy on the next trading day is expected to be 94.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.79. Entergy after-hype prediction price | USD 93.54 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Entergy to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Entergy contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Entergy will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0319% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Entergy trading at USD 93.54, that is roughly USD 0.0298 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Entergy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Entergy options at the current volatility level of 0.51%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Entergy Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Entergy's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Entergy's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Entergy stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Entergy's open interest, investors have to compare it to Entergy's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Entergy is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Entergy. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Entergy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Entergy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Entergy using various technical indicators. When you analyze Entergy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Entergy Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Entergy's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 1993-03-31 | Previous Quarter 1.2 B | Current Value 1.5 B | Quarterly Volatility 453.9 M |
Entergy Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Entergy on the next trading day is expected to be 94.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72, mean absolute percentage error of 0.90, and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.79.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Entergy Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Entergy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Entergy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Entergy | Entergy Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Entergy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Entergy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Entergy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 93.20 and 95.44, respectively. We have considered Entergy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Entergy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Entergy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.8398 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7224 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0077 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 44.7861 |
Predictive Modules for Entergy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Entergy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Entergy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Entergy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Entergy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Entergy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Entergy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Entergy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Entergy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Entergy's historical news coverage. Entergy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 92.42 and 94.66, respectively. We have considered Entergy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Entergy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Entergy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Entergy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Entergy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Entergy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Entergy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.12 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 14 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 14 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
93.54 | 93.54 | 0.00 |
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Entergy Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January Entergy is traded for 93.54. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Entergy is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Entergy is about 727.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 93.53. About 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Entergy was currently reported as 37.31. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.64. Entergy last dividend was issued on the 13th of November 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 13th of December 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 14 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Entergy to cross-verify your projections.Entergy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Entergy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Entergy's future price movements. Getting to know how Entergy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Entergy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PEG | Public Service Enterprise | (1.45) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.32 | (2.04) | 5.52 | |
| XEL | Xcel Energy | 0.36 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.27 | (1.64) | 5.29 | |
| EXC | Exelon | 0.92 | 19 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.26 | (1.77) | 4.76 | |
| D | Dominion Energy | (0.28) | 8 per month | 1.33 | (0.08) | 1.63 | (2.04) | 5.71 | |
| WEC | WEC Energy Group | (0.53) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 1.05 | (1.27) | 4.32 | |
| ED | Consolidated Edison | (0.69) | 6 per month | 1.07 | (0.05) | 1.58 | (1.66) | 4.62 | |
| PCG | PGE Corp | 0.08 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.79 | (2.31) | 6.66 | |
| DTE | DTE Energy | (1.61) | 22 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.32 | (1.74) | 4.73 | |
| AEE | Ameren Corp | 0.62 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.09 | (1.45) | 5.74 | |
| NEE | Nextera Energy | 1.04 | 8 per month | 1.34 | (0.06) | 1.92 | (2.20) | 5.66 |
Other Forecasting Options for Entergy
For every potential investor in Entergy, whether a beginner or expert, Entergy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Entergy Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Entergy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Entergy's price trends.Entergy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Entergy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Entergy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Entergy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Entergy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Entergy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Entergy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Entergy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Entergy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 62941.72 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.92) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 94.58 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 94.23 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.13) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.19) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 48.63 |
Entergy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Entergy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Entergy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting entergy stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.855 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Variance | 1.2 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Entergy
The number of cover stories for Entergy depends on current market conditions and Entergy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Entergy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Entergy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Entergy Short Properties
Entergy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Entergy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Entergy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Entergy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Entergy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 431.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 859.7 M |
Additional Tools for Entergy Stock Analysis
When running Entergy's price analysis, check to measure Entergy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Entergy is operating at the current time. Most of Entergy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Entergy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Entergy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Entergy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.