Eurasia Mining Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

EUA Stock   3.95  0.10  2.47%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Eurasia Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 3.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.82. Eurasia Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Eurasia Mining stock prices and determine the direction of Eurasia Mining's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Eurasia Mining's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Eurasia Mining's share price is approaching 31 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Eurasia Mining, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 31

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Eurasia Mining's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Eurasia Mining and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Eurasia Mining's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Eurasia Mining, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Eurasia Mining's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.0002)
Wall Street Target Price
27.34
Quarterly Revenue Growth
2.207
Using Eurasia Mining hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Eurasia Mining from the perspective of Eurasia Mining response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Eurasia Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 3.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.82.

Eurasia Mining after-hype prediction price

    
  GBX 4.02  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eurasia Mining to cross-verify your projections.
At present, Eurasia Mining's Other Current Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 2.4 M, whereas Net Debt is projected to grow to (2.9 M).

Eurasia Mining Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Eurasia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Eurasia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Eurasia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Eurasia Mining works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Eurasia Mining Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Eurasia Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 3.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.82.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Eurasia Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Eurasia Mining's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Eurasia Mining Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Eurasia MiningEurasia Mining Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Eurasia Mining Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Eurasia Mining's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Eurasia Mining's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 11.54, respectively. We have considered Eurasia Mining's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.95
3.87
Expected Value
11.54
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Eurasia Mining stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Eurasia Mining stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0349
MADMean absolute deviation0.2512
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0626
SAESum of the absolute errors14.8194
When Eurasia Mining prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Eurasia Mining trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Eurasia Mining observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Eurasia Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eurasia Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.204.0211.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.173.4111.08
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.030.030.03
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Eurasia Mining

For every potential investor in Eurasia, whether a beginner or expert, Eurasia Mining's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Eurasia Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Eurasia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Eurasia Mining's price trends.

Eurasia Mining Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Eurasia Mining stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Eurasia Mining could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Eurasia Mining by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Eurasia Mining Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Eurasia Mining's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Eurasia Mining's current price.

Eurasia Mining Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Eurasia Mining stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Eurasia Mining shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Eurasia Mining stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Eurasia Mining entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Eurasia Mining Risk Indicators

The analysis of Eurasia Mining's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Eurasia Mining's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eurasia stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Eurasia Stock

Eurasia Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eurasia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eurasia with respect to the benefits of owning Eurasia Mining security.