Eurobank Ergasias Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

EUROB Stock  EUR 2.05  0.01  0.49%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Eurobank Ergasias Services on the next trading day is expected to be 2.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.33. Eurobank Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Eurobank Ergasias stock prices and determine the direction of Eurobank Ergasias Services's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Eurobank Ergasias' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Eurobank Ergasias polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Eurobank Ergasias Services as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Eurobank Ergasias Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Eurobank Ergasias Services on the next trading day is expected to be 2.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.33.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Eurobank Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Eurobank Ergasias' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Eurobank Ergasias Stock Forecast Pattern

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Eurobank Ergasias Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Eurobank Ergasias' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Eurobank Ergasias' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.65 and 3.49, respectively. We have considered Eurobank Ergasias' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.05
2.07
Expected Value
3.49
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Eurobank Ergasias stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Eurobank Ergasias stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.9434
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0382
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0191
SAESum of the absolute errors2.33
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Eurobank Ergasias historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Eurobank Ergasias

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eurobank Ergasias. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.622.053.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.602.023.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Eurobank Ergasias. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Eurobank Ergasias' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Eurobank Ergasias' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Eurobank Ergasias.

Other Forecasting Options for Eurobank Ergasias

For every potential investor in Eurobank, whether a beginner or expert, Eurobank Ergasias' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Eurobank Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Eurobank. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Eurobank Ergasias' price trends.

Eurobank Ergasias Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Eurobank Ergasias stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Eurobank Ergasias could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Eurobank Ergasias by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Eurobank Ergasias Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Eurobank Ergasias' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Eurobank Ergasias' current price.

Eurobank Ergasias Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Eurobank Ergasias stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Eurobank Ergasias shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Eurobank Ergasias stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Eurobank Ergasias Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Eurobank Ergasias Risk Indicators

The analysis of Eurobank Ergasias' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Eurobank Ergasias' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eurobank stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in Eurobank Stock

Eurobank Ergasias financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eurobank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eurobank with respect to the benefits of owning Eurobank Ergasias security.