Mast Global Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

EV Etf  USD 25.15  0.17  0.67%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mast Global Battery on the next trading day is expected to be 25.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.64. Mast Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Mast Global simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Mast Global Battery are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Mast Global Battery prices get older.

Mast Global Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mast Global Battery on the next trading day is expected to be 25.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36, mean absolute percentage error of 0.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.64.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mast Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mast Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mast Global Etf Forecast Pattern

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Mast Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mast Global's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mast Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.37 and 26.93, respectively. We have considered Mast Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
25.15
25.15
Expected Value
26.93
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mast Global etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mast Global etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.7071
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.031
MADMean absolute deviation0.3607
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0142
SAESum of the absolute errors21.64
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Mast Global Battery forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Mast Global observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Mast Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mast Global Battery. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mast Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.3225.1026.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.4425.2227.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
24.6025.2425.88
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Mast Global

For every potential investor in Mast, whether a beginner or expert, Mast Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mast Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mast. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mast Global's price trends.

Mast Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mast Global etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mast Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mast Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mast Global Battery Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mast Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mast Global's current price.

Mast Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mast Global etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mast Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mast Global etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Mast Global Battery entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mast Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mast Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mast Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mast etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mast Global to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
The market value of Mast Global Battery is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mast that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mast Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mast Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mast Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mast Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mast Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mast Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mast Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.