Evolution Blockchain Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

EVBC Stock  USD 0.0004  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Evolution Blockchain Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0004 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Evolution Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Evolution Blockchain stock prices and determine the direction of Evolution Blockchain Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Evolution Blockchain's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At present, Evolution Blockchain's Accounts Payable is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Short and Long Term Debt is expected to grow to about 59.7 K, whereas Total Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 36.8 K.

Evolution Blockchain Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Evolution Blockchain's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
25.1 K
Current Value
12.7 K
Quarterly Volatility
11.3 K
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Evolution Blockchain is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Evolution Blockchain Group value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Evolution Blockchain Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Evolution Blockchain Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0004 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Evolution Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Evolution Blockchain's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Evolution Blockchain Stock Forecast Pattern

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Evolution Blockchain Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Evolution Blockchain's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Evolution Blockchain's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0004 and 0.0004, respectively. We have considered Evolution Blockchain's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0004
0.0004
Downside
0.0004
Expected Value
0.0004
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Evolution Blockchain stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Evolution Blockchain stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria33.1576
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Evolution Blockchain Group. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Evolution Blockchain. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Evolution Blockchain

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Evolution Blockchain. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00040.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00030.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00040.00040.0004
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Evolution Blockchain. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Evolution Blockchain's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Evolution Blockchain's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Evolution Blockchain.

Other Forecasting Options for Evolution Blockchain

For every potential investor in Evolution, whether a beginner or expert, Evolution Blockchain's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Evolution Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Evolution. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Evolution Blockchain's price trends.

Evolution Blockchain Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Evolution Blockchain stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Evolution Blockchain could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Evolution Blockchain by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Evolution Blockchain Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Evolution Blockchain's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Evolution Blockchain's current price.

Evolution Blockchain Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Evolution Blockchain stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Evolution Blockchain shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Evolution Blockchain stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Evolution Blockchain Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Evolution Blockchain offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Evolution Blockchain's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Evolution Blockchain Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Evolution Blockchain Group Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Evolution Blockchain to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Is Capital Markets space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Evolution Blockchain. If investors know Evolution will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Evolution Blockchain listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(14.20)
Return On Assets
(0.36)
Return On Equity
(6.64)
The market value of Evolution Blockchain is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Evolution that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Evolution Blockchain's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Evolution Blockchain's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Evolution Blockchain's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Evolution Blockchain's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Evolution Blockchain's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Evolution Blockchain is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Evolution Blockchain's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.