Entravision Communications Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| EVC Stock | USD 3.09 0.05 1.59% |
Entravision Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Entravision Communications stock prices and determine the direction of Entravision Communications's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Entravision Communications' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength momentum indicator of Entravision Communications' share price is at 57 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Entravision Communications, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.73) | Wall Street Target Price 3.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.242 |
Using Entravision Communications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Entravision Communications from the perspective of Entravision Communications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Entravision Communications using Entravision Communications' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Entravision using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Entravision Communications' stock price.
Entravision Communications Implied Volatility | 1.77 |
Entravision Communications' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Entravision Communications stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Entravision Communications' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Entravision Communications stock will not fluctuate a lot when Entravision Communications' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Entravision Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 3.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.52. Entravision Communications after-hype prediction price | USD 3.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Entravision | Build AI portfolio with Entravision Stock |
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Entravision Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Entravision Communications' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Entravision Communications' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Entravision Communications stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Entravision Communications' open interest, investors have to compare it to Entravision Communications' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Entravision Communications is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Entravision. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Entravision Communications Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Entravision price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Entravision using various technical indicators. When you analyze Entravision charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Entravision Communications Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Entravision Communications' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2000-06-30 | Previous Quarter 64.5 M | Current Value 62.5 M | Quarterly Volatility 47 M |
Entravision Communications Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Entravision Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 3.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.52.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Entravision Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Entravision Communications' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Entravision Communications Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Entravision Communications | Entravision Communications Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Entravision Communications Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Entravision Communications' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Entravision Communications' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 9.56, respectively. We have considered Entravision Communications' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Entravision Communications stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Entravision Communications stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.3353 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1374 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0488 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.5207 |
Predictive Modules for Entravision Communications
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Entravision Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Entravision Communications' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Entravision Communications After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Entravision Communications at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Entravision Communications or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Entravision Communications, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Entravision Communications Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Entravision Communications' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Entravision Communications' historical news coverage. Entravision Communications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.15 and 9.30, respectively. We have considered Entravision Communications' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Entravision Communications is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Entravision Communications is based on 3 months time horizon.
Entravision Communications Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Entravision Communications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Entravision Communications backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Entravision Communications, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.85 | 6.27 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.09 | 3.07 | 0.65 |
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Entravision Communications Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Entravision Communications is traded for 3.09. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Entravision is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 3.07. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.65%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.85%. The volatility of related hype on Entravision Communications is about 25080.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.11. About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Entravision Communications was currently reported as 0.86. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.91. Entravision Communications recorded a loss per share of 1.29. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of December 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Entravision Communications to cross-verify your projections.Entravision Communications Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Entravision Communications' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Entravision Communications' future price movements. Getting to know how Entravision Communications' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Entravision Communications may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| STRZ | Starz Entertainment LLC | (0.11) | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.11 | (5.15) | 17.68 | |
| SSP | E W Scripps | (0.05) | 6 per month | 3.74 | 0.09 | 7.52 | (6.60) | 53.49 | |
| WIMI | WiMi Hologram Cloud | (0.26) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 4.84 | (6.25) | 18.66 | |
| TRUE | TrueCar | 0.88 | 2 per month | 1.81 | 0.01 | 4.74 | (3.48) | 12.10 | |
| CURI | Curiositystream | (0.03) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.53 | (6.20) | 33.31 | |
| ATNI | ATN International | 0.08 | 7 per month | 1.75 | 0.18 | 5.16 | (3.13) | 22.28 | |
| CXDO | Crexendo | (0.05) | 8 per month | 3.02 | 0.03 | 7.31 | (4.78) | 16.36 | |
| UPXI | Upexi Inc | (0.05) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 11.51 | (10.16) | 30.97 | |
| TRVG | Trivago NV | (0.05) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.23 | (4.37) | 11.25 | |
| IHRT | iHeartMedia Class A | (0.11) | 4 per month | 3.35 | 0 | 12.38 | (5.90) | 44.17 |
Other Forecasting Options for Entravision Communications
For every potential investor in Entravision, whether a beginner or expert, Entravision Communications' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Entravision Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Entravision. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Entravision Communications' price trends.Entravision Communications Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Entravision Communications stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Entravision Communications could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Entravision Communications by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Entravision Communications Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Entravision Communications stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Entravision Communications shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Entravision Communications stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Entravision Communications entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Entravision Communications Risk Indicators
The analysis of Entravision Communications' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Entravision Communications' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting entravision stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.63 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.0 | |||
| Variance | 36.02 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.27 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.23 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.85) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Entravision Communications
The number of cover stories for Entravision Communications depends on current market conditions and Entravision Communications' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Entravision Communications is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Entravision Communications' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Entravision Communications Short Properties
Entravision Communications' future price predictability will typically decrease when Entravision Communications' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Entravision Communications often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Entravision Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Entravision Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 89.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 100.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Entravision Communications to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Entravision Stock refer to our How to Trade Entravision Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Will Broadcasting sector continue expanding? Could Entravision diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Entravision Communications. Projected growth potential of Entravision fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Entravision Communications data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.73) | Dividend Share 0.2 | Earnings Share (1.29) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.242 |
Understanding Entravision Communications requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Entravision's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Entravision Communications' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Entravision Communications' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Entravision Communications' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Entravision Communications should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Entravision Communications' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.