EVIO Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

EVIO Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of EVIO Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000099 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000033 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. EVIO Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
EVIO simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for EVIO Inc are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as EVIO Inc prices get older.

EVIO Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of EVIO Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000099 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000033, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict EVIO Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that EVIO's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

EVIO Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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EVIO Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting EVIO's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. EVIO's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000001 and 386.52, respectively. We have considered EVIO's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.000001
Downside
0.000099
Expected Value
386.52
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of EVIO pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent EVIO pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria96.1365
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors0.002
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting EVIO Inc forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent EVIO observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for EVIO

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EVIO Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000150.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00006350.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Other Forecasting Options for EVIO

For every potential investor in EVIO, whether a beginner or expert, EVIO's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. EVIO Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in EVIO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying EVIO's price trends.

View EVIO Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

EVIO Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of EVIO's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of EVIO's current price.

EVIO Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how EVIO pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading EVIO shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying EVIO pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify EVIO Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pair Trading with EVIO

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if EVIO position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in EVIO will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against EVIO Pink Sheet

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  0.35MKGAF MERCK KommanditgesellsPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to EVIO could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace EVIO when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back EVIO - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling EVIO Inc to buy it.
The correlation of EVIO is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as EVIO moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if EVIO Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for EVIO can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in EVIO Pink Sheet

EVIO financial ratios help investors to determine whether EVIO Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EVIO with respect to the benefits of owning EVIO security.