EVO Transportation Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

EVOA Stock  USD 0.10  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of EVO Transportation Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. EVO Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast EVO Transportation stock prices and determine the direction of EVO Transportation Energy's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of EVO Transportation's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for EVO Transportation is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of EVO Transportation Energy value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

EVO Transportation Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of EVO Transportation Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict EVO Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that EVO Transportation's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

EVO Transportation Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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EVO Transportation Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting EVO Transportation's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. EVO Transportation's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.10 and 0.10, respectively. We have considered EVO Transportation's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.10
0.10
Expected Value
0.10
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of EVO Transportation pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent EVO Transportation pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria45.7102
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of EVO Transportation Energy. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict EVO Transportation. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for EVO Transportation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EVO Transportation Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.100.100.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.080.080.11
Details

Other Forecasting Options for EVO Transportation

For every potential investor in EVO, whether a beginner or expert, EVO Transportation's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. EVO Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in EVO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying EVO Transportation's price trends.

EVO Transportation Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with EVO Transportation pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of EVO Transportation could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EVO Transportation by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

EVO Transportation Energy Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of EVO Transportation's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of EVO Transportation's current price.

EVO Transportation Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how EVO Transportation pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading EVO Transportation shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying EVO Transportation pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify EVO Transportation Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in EVO Pink Sheet

EVO Transportation financial ratios help investors to determine whether EVO Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EVO with respect to the benefits of owning EVO Transportation security.