Earthworks Entertainment Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

EWKS Stock  USD 0.00001  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Earthworks Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000041 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.000025. Earthworks Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Earthworks Entertainment's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Earthworks Entertainment's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Earthworks Entertainment and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Earthworks Entertainment's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Earthworks Entertainment, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Earthworks Entertainment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Earthworks Entertainment from the perspective of Earthworks Entertainment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Earthworks Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000041 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.000025.

Earthworks Entertainment after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.0E-5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Earthworks Entertainment to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Earthworks Stock please use our How to Invest in Earthworks Entertainment guide.

Earthworks Entertainment Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Earthworks price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Earthworks using various technical indicators. When you analyze Earthworks charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Earthworks Entertainment price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Earthworks Entertainment Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Earthworks Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000041, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.000025.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Earthworks Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Earthworks Entertainment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Earthworks Entertainment Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Earthworks EntertainmentEarthworks Entertainment Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Earthworks Entertainment Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Earthworks Entertainment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Earthworks Entertainment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000001 and 0.000001, respectively. We have considered Earthworks Entertainment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.00001
0.000001
Downside
0.000001
Expected Value
0.000001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Earthworks Entertainment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Earthworks Entertainment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria90.9077
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Earthworks Entertainment historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Earthworks Entertainment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Earthworks Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00000630.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.000000280.000000280.00000028
Details

Earthworks Entertainment After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Earthworks Entertainment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Earthworks Entertainment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Earthworks Entertainment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Earthworks Entertainment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Earthworks Entertainment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Earthworks Entertainment's historical news coverage. Earthworks Entertainment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Earthworks Entertainment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.00001
0.00001
After-hype Price
0.00
Upside
Earthworks Entertainment is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Earthworks Entertainment is based on 3 months time horizon.

Earthworks Entertainment Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Earthworks Entertainment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Earthworks Entertainment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Earthworks Entertainment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
22 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 22 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.00001
0.00001
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Earthworks Entertainment Hype Timeline

Earthworks Entertainment is currently traded for 0.00001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Earthworks is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Earthworks Entertainment is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Earthworks Entertainment had 1:20 split on the 25th of February 2009. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 22 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Earthworks Entertainment to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Earthworks Stock please use our How to Invest in Earthworks Entertainment guide.

Earthworks Entertainment Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Earthworks Entertainment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Earthworks Entertainment's future price movements. Getting to know how Earthworks Entertainment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Earthworks Entertainment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TATT Inc 0.28 6 per month 0.00 (0.23) 1.53 (1.85) 4.30 
VZVerizon Communications(0.47)6 per month 0.00 (0.09) 1.98 (2.49) 5.34 
MRTMarti Technologies(0.01)8 per month 2.43 (0.03) 7.59 (4.02) 20.77 
CCCCC4 Therapeutics 0.36 8 per month 0.00 (0.03) 8.16 (7.32) 24.93 
HOLOMicroCloud Hologram(0.01)10 per month 0.00 (0.14) 5.57 (8.22) 15.30 
IMMRImmersion 0.13 12 per month 2.19 (0.03) 4.57 (3.90) 22.47 
ABSOFABS CBN Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 0.00  0.00  40.00 
HRZNHorizon Technology Finance(0.01)8 per month 0.79  0.12  2.53 (1.59) 11.64 

Other Forecasting Options for Earthworks Entertainment

For every potential investor in Earthworks, whether a beginner or expert, Earthworks Entertainment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Earthworks Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Earthworks. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Earthworks Entertainment's price trends.

Earthworks Entertainment Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Earthworks Entertainment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Earthworks Entertainment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Earthworks Entertainment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Earthworks Entertainment Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Earthworks Entertainment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Earthworks Entertainment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Earthworks Entertainment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Earthworks Entertainment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Earthworks Entertainment

The number of cover stories for Earthworks Entertainment depends on current market conditions and Earthworks Entertainment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Earthworks Entertainment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Earthworks Entertainment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Additional Tools for Earthworks Stock Analysis

When running Earthworks Entertainment's price analysis, check to measure Earthworks Entertainment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Earthworks Entertainment is operating at the current time. Most of Earthworks Entertainment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Earthworks Entertainment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Earthworks Entertainment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Earthworks Entertainment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.