IShares STOXX Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

EXSD Etf  EUR 60.49  0.34  0.57%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of iShares STOXX Europe on the next trading day is expected to be 60.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.04. IShares Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of IShares STOXX's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength momentum indicator of IShares STOXX's etf price is roughly 64 suggesting that the etf is rather overbought by investors as of 1st of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling IShares, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 64

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of IShares STOXX's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of IShares STOXX and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from IShares STOXX's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with iShares STOXX Europe, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using IShares STOXX hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of iShares STOXX Europe from the perspective of IShares STOXX response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of iShares STOXX Europe on the next trading day is expected to be 60.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.04.

IShares STOXX after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 60.49  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IShares STOXX to cross-verify your projections.

IShares STOXX Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine IShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze IShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
IShares STOXX simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for iShares STOXX Europe are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as iShares STOXX Europe prices get older.

IShares STOXX Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of iShares STOXX Europe on the next trading day is expected to be 60.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IShares STOXX's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

IShares STOXX Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest IShares STOXXIShares STOXX Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

IShares STOXX Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting IShares STOXX's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IShares STOXX's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 59.90 and 61.08, respectively. We have considered IShares STOXX's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
60.49
60.49
Expected Value
61.08
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IShares STOXX etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IShares STOXX etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.1613
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.035
MADMean absolute deviation0.284
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0049
SAESum of the absolute errors17.04
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting iShares STOXX Europe forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent IShares STOXX observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for IShares STOXX

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as iShares STOXX Europe. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IShares STOXX's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
59.9060.4961.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
59.4260.0160.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
57.5359.0060.47
Details

Other Forecasting Options for IShares STOXX

For every potential investor in IShares, whether a beginner or expert, IShares STOXX's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IShares STOXX's price trends.

IShares STOXX Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IShares STOXX etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IShares STOXX could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IShares STOXX by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

iShares STOXX Europe Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of IShares STOXX's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of IShares STOXX's current price.

IShares STOXX Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IShares STOXX etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IShares STOXX shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IShares STOXX etf market strength indicators, traders can identify iShares STOXX Europe entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

IShares STOXX Risk Indicators

The analysis of IShares STOXX's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IShares STOXX's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ishares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in IShares Etf

IShares STOXX financial ratios help investors to determine whether IShares Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in IShares with respect to the benefits of owning IShares STOXX security.