Extreme Networks Stock Forward View

EXTR Stock  USD 23.93  -0.11  -0.46%   
The Naive Prediction output for Extreme Networks is derived from daily price data across the evaluation window. The error pattern reveals whether the model tracked prices consistently or diverged during volatile sessions. Parameters are re-estimated as new trading sessions are recorded, keeping the forecast current. The Naive Prediction model projects Extreme Networks at 25.46 for the next trading day, above the most recent closing price. Extreme Networks's Naive Prediction forecast is intended for short-term analytical reference.

Extreme Networks Cash Forecast

Cash flow forecasting for Extreme Networks combines time-series analysis with quantitative techniques. Sector-specific assumptions and macroeconomic inputs supplement the historical financial analysis. Predicting Extreme Networks's cash generation capacity requires modeling revenue growth, margins, and capital intensity.
 
Cash  
 First Reported
1999-03-31
 Previous Quarter
219.79 million
 Current Value
210.11 million
 Quarterly Volatility
61.58 million
Macro event markers
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Extreme Networks is a special case of the moving average where the smoothing period is one. The forecast for Extreme Networks on a given trading day is simply the observed closing price of the previous period. Because it uses only a single lag, this model is limited to one-period-ahead forecasts.

Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of May 2026

Over a 90-day horizon, the Naive Prediction model forecasts Extreme Networks at 25.46 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.03 , and sum of absolute errors of 31.10 .
This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of Extreme Networks' price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.

Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Extreme Networks  Extreme Networks Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Forecasted Value

The projected range for Extreme Networks reflects the model's ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios for the next trading day. The current forecast range spans downside near 21.33 and upside near 29.59. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Market Value
23.93
25.46
Expected Value
29.59

Model Predictive Factors

The table below summarizes the Naive Prediction model's error metrics for Extreme Networks stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.5962
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5098
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0286
SAESum of the absolute errors31.1001
The naive model produces a tight forecast range but offers no smoothing of noise or trend detection. It serves primarily as a baseline benchmark — if a more complex model cannot outperform the naive forecast, it may indicate that Extreme Networks price movements are largely random over the selected horizon.

Other Forecasting Options for Extreme Networks

Volatility clustering is a well-documented feature of Extreme Networks Stock price data where periods of large moves tend to follow other large moves. When Extreme Networks' RSI reaches extreme levels, it often precedes a short-term price correction or consolidation. Seasonal patterns in Extreme Networks' returns tend to persist when driven by structural factors like earnings calendars or index rebalancing.

Extreme Networks Related Equities

These stocks are related to Extreme Networks within the Information Technology space and can be used for peer review, pricing, or spreading risk. Key comparison metrics include price-to-earnings, profit margin, and revenue growth across Extreme Networks' peer group.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Extreme Networks Market Strength Events

Accumulation/Distribution and Balance of Power for Extreme Networks reveal whether buying or selling pressure dominates recent sessions. Balance of Power trending positive indicates that buyers are consistently closing Extreme Networks near session highs. These signals help explain whether price direction and session structure are moving together for Extreme Networks.

Extreme Networks Risk Indicators

Risk indicator analysis for Extreme Networks quantifies how much price variability the stock has exhibited over the measurement window. Downside variance exceeding total variance indicates that negative moves in Extreme Networks have been larger or more frequent than positive ones. Mean deviation provides a more intuitive measure of typical price fluctuation than variance because it stays in the same units as Extreme Networks' price.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Extreme Networks Short Properties

Short-interest data for Extreme Networks reveals whether bearish conviction in the market is gaining traction. This is applicable when the question is whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding132.33 million
Cash And Short Term Investments231.75 million

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