EzFill Holdings Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

EZFL Stock  USD 2.32  0.18  7.20%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of EzFill Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 2.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.87. EzFill Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although EzFill Holdings' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of EzFill Holdings' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of EzFill Holdings fundamentals over time.
  
Asset Turnover is expected to rise to 4.26 this year, although the value of Inventory Turnover will most likely fall to 86.92. . The value of Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to slide to about 1.2 M. Net Loss is expected to rise to about (15 M) this year.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for EzFill Holdings is based on a synthetically constructed EzFill Holdingsdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

EzFill Holdings 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of EzFill Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 2.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.87.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict EzFill Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that EzFill Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

EzFill Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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EzFill Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting EzFill Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. EzFill Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 7.37, respectively. We have considered EzFill Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.32
2.84
Expected Value
7.37
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of EzFill Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent EzFill Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria79.2631
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2121
MADMean absolute deviation0.3139
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1097
SAESum of the absolute errors12.871
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. EzFill Holdings 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for EzFill Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EzFill Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.122.446.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.173.377.81
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.466.006.66
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as EzFill Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against EzFill Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, EzFill Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in EzFill Holdings.

Other Forecasting Options for EzFill Holdings

For every potential investor in EzFill, whether a beginner or expert, EzFill Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. EzFill Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in EzFill. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying EzFill Holdings' price trends.

EzFill Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with EzFill Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of EzFill Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EzFill Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

EzFill Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of EzFill Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of EzFill Holdings' current price.

EzFill Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how EzFill Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading EzFill Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying EzFill Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify EzFill Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

EzFill Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of EzFill Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in EzFill Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ezfill stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether EzFill Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze EzFill Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact EzFill Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding EzFill Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EzFill Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy EzFill Stock please use our How to buy in EzFill Stock guide.
You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of EzFill Holdings. If investors know EzFill will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about EzFill Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(9.98)
Revenue Per Share
14.662
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.207
Return On Assets
(0.70)
Return On Equity
(57.65)
The market value of EzFill Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of EzFill that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of EzFill Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is EzFill Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because EzFill Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect EzFill Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between EzFill Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if EzFill Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, EzFill Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.