Franklin Crypto Etf Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| EZPZ Etf | 17.73 1.74 10.88% |
Franklin Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of Franklin Crypto's share price is below 20 suggesting that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Franklin Crypto hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Franklin Crypto Index from the perspective of Franklin Crypto response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Franklin Crypto Index on the next trading day is expected to be 17.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.13. Franklin Crypto after-hype prediction price | USD 17.59 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Franklin Crypto Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Franklin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Franklin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Franklin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Franklin Crypto Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 9th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Franklin Crypto Index on the next trading day is expected to be 17.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63, mean absolute percentage error of 0.70, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.13.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Franklin Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Franklin Crypto's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Franklin Crypto Etf Forecast Pattern
Franklin Crypto Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Franklin Crypto's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Franklin Crypto's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.63 and 21.21, respectively. We have considered Franklin Crypto's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Franklin Crypto etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Franklin Crypto etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1585 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6293 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0283 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 37.13 |
Predictive Modules for Franklin Crypto
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin Crypto Index. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Franklin Crypto Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Franklin Crypto at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Franklin Crypto or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Franklin Crypto, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Franklin Crypto Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Franklin Crypto is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Franklin Crypto backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Franklin Crypto, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.65 | 3.79 | 0.14 | 0.05 | 2 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
17.73 | 17.59 | 0.79 |
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Franklin Crypto Hype Timeline
Franklin Crypto Index is currently traded for 17.73. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Franklin is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 17.59. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.79%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.65%. The volatility of related hype on Franklin Crypto is about 4922.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.78. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out fundamental analysis of Franklin Crypto to check your projections.Franklin Crypto Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Franklin Crypto's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Franklin Crypto's future price movements. Getting to know how Franklin Crypto's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Franklin Crypto may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ODDS | Pacer BlueStar Digital | (0.09) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 1.66 | (2.22) | 6.94 | |
| ODHY | Spinnaker ETF Series | 0.01 | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.52) | 0.30 | (0.10) | 0.61 | |
| BNDS | Series Portfolios Trust | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.32 | (0.22) | 0.89 | |
| MUNB | Northern Funds | 0.08 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.76) | 0.16 | (0.11) | 0.42 | |
| SYNB | Putnam Investments | 0.59 | 2 per month | 0.62 | (0.02) | 1.90 | (1.22) | 5.22 | |
| AWEG | Fred Alger Management | (0.03) | 1 per month | 0.80 | (0.04) | 1.85 | (1.47) | 4.93 | |
| FRIZ | Franklin Dividend Growth | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.59 | (0.03) | 0.90 | (0.99) | 3.18 | |
| TILL | Listed Funds Trust | (0.09) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 0.96 | (0.99) | 2.52 | |
| UPGR | Xtrackers Green Infrastructure | 0.29 | 1 per month | 1.99 | (0) | 2.85 | (2.96) | 9.76 | |
| UCYB | ProShares Ultra Nasdaq | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.95 | (5.19) | 10.80 |
Other Forecasting Options for Franklin Crypto
For every potential investor in Franklin, whether a beginner or expert, Franklin Crypto's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Franklin Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Franklin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Franklin Crypto's price trends.Franklin Crypto Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Franklin Crypto etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Franklin Crypto could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Franklin Crypto by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Franklin Crypto Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Franklin Crypto etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Franklin Crypto shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Franklin Crypto etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Franklin Crypto Index entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Franklin Crypto Risk Indicators
The analysis of Franklin Crypto's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Franklin Crypto's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting franklin etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.77 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.84 | |||
| Variance | 14.72 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Franklin Crypto
The number of cover stories for Franklin Crypto depends on current market conditions and Franklin Crypto's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Franklin Crypto is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Franklin Crypto's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out fundamental analysis of Franklin Crypto to check your projections. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
The market value of Franklin Crypto Index is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Franklin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Franklin Crypto's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Franklin Crypto's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Franklin Crypto's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Franklin Crypto's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Franklin Crypto's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Franklin Crypto should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Franklin Crypto's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.