Ford Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| F Stock | USD 12.17 0.48 4.11% |
Ford's Simple Moving Average forecast is computed from observed closing prices over the selected horizon. The accuracy statistics below distinguish a well-fitted model from one that is smoothing over meaningful price movement. The Simple Moving Average model projects Ford at 12.17 for the next trading day, above the most recent closing price. The Simple Moving Average output reflects statistical model results and is provided for reference purposes.
Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 8th of May
Over a 90-day horizon, the Simple Moving Average model forecasts Ford at 12.17 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.02 , and sum of absolute errors of 15.03 .This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of Ford's price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Ford | Ford Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Ford's next-session forecast estimates practical downside and upside boundaries based on the model's historical fit. The model places downside around 10.07 and upside around 14.26 for the next session. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the Simple Moving Average model's error metrics for Ford stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.1585 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0366 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2547 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0203 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 15.03 |
Other Forecasting Options for Ford
Analyzing Ford's price movement through moving averages at different time horizons reveals whether short-term momentum aligns with the longer-term trend. Touches of the upper or lower band in Ford's chart signal overbought or oversold conditions.Ford Related Equities
Investors studying Ford often look at related stocks within the Consumer Discretionary space to gauge pricing and results. Profit comparisons show whether Ford earns above or below average returns next to its peers. Sector-wide trends across this peer group split company-level factors from broader forces. Tracking Ford's results against these peers over time helps spot rising trends early.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ford Market Strength Events
For investors tracking Ford Motor, market strength indicators offer quantitative evaluation of stock behavior. When Rate of Change diverges from price direction, it often signals weakening momentum before a visible reversal in Ford.
Ford Risk Indicators
Analyzing Ford's basic risk indicators provides a structured view of the risk-return trade-off for ford stock. Expected shortfall estimates the average loss in the worst-case tail scenarios, going beyond what standard deviation alone captures for Ford.
| Mean Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.05 | |||
| Variance | 4.21 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Ford Short Properties
Short-interest signals around Ford reveal whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. This is applicable when the question is whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.98 billion | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 38.49 billion |