Fanuc Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

FANUY Stock  USD 13.52  0.07  0.52%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fanuc on the next trading day is expected to be 13.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.66. Fanuc Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Fanuc works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Fanuc Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fanuc on the next trading day is expected to be 13.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.66.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fanuc Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fanuc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fanuc Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Fanuc Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Fanuc's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fanuc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.76 and 15.29, respectively. We have considered Fanuc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.52
13.52
Expected Value
15.29
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fanuc pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fanuc pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0354
MADMean absolute deviation0.1976
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0145
SAESum of the absolute errors11.6578
When Fanuc prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Fanuc trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Fanuc observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Fanuc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fanuc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fanuc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.7513.5215.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.7612.5314.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.7113.3914.08
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Fanuc

For every potential investor in Fanuc, whether a beginner or expert, Fanuc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fanuc Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fanuc. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fanuc's price trends.

Fanuc Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fanuc pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fanuc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fanuc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fanuc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fanuc's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fanuc's current price.

Fanuc Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fanuc pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fanuc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fanuc pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Fanuc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fanuc Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fanuc's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fanuc's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fanuc pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Fanuc Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Fanuc's price analysis, check to measure Fanuc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fanuc is operating at the current time. Most of Fanuc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fanuc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fanuc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fanuc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.