Fate Therapeutics Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

FATE Stock  USD 0.98  0.02  2.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Fate Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 0.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.15. Fate Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Fate Therapeutics stock prices and determine the direction of Fate Therapeutics's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Fate Therapeutics' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the rsi of Fate Therapeutics' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Fate Therapeutics' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Fate Therapeutics and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Fate Therapeutics' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fate Therapeutics, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Fate Therapeutics' stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.27)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.15)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(1.16)
Wall Street Target Price
4.9444
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.28)
Using Fate Therapeutics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fate Therapeutics from the perspective of Fate Therapeutics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Fate Therapeutics using Fate Therapeutics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Fate using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Fate Therapeutics' stock price.

Fate Therapeutics Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Fate Therapeutics' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Fate. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Fate Therapeutics stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
1.134
Short Percent
0.0872
Short Ratio
7.79
Shares Short Prior Month
8.2 M
50 Day MA
1.1328

Fate Therapeutics Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Fate Therapeutics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Fate. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Fate can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Fate Therapeutics. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Fate Therapeutics' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Fate Therapeutics.

Fate Therapeutics Implied Volatility

    
  2.21  
Fate Therapeutics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Fate Therapeutics stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Fate Therapeutics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Fate Therapeutics stock will not fluctuate a lot when Fate Therapeutics' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Fate Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 0.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.15.

Fate Therapeutics after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.98  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fate Therapeutics to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Fate Stock refer to our How to Trade Fate Stock guide.As of January 2, 2026, Payables Turnover is expected to decline to 4.23. In addition to that, Receivables Turnover is expected to decline to 3.29. The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 137.3 M, whereas Net Loss is projected to grow to (240.9 M).

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Fate Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Fate Therapeutics' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Fate Therapeutics' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Fate Therapeutics stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Fate Therapeutics' open interest, investors have to compare it to Fate Therapeutics' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Fate Therapeutics is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Fate. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Fate Therapeutics Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Fate price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fate using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fate charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Fate Therapeutics is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Fate Therapeutics Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Fate Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 0.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.15.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fate Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fate Therapeutics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fate Therapeutics Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Fate TherapeuticsFate Therapeutics Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Fate Therapeutics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Fate Therapeutics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fate Therapeutics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.79, respectively. We have considered Fate Therapeutics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.98
0.98
Expected Value
5.79
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fate Therapeutics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fate Therapeutics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.1754
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0125
MADMean absolute deviation0.0533
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0439
SAESum of the absolute errors3.145
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Fate Therapeutics price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Fate Therapeutics. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Fate Therapeutics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fate Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fate Therapeutics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.050.986.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.966.19
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.504.945.49
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Fate Therapeutics

For every potential investor in Fate, whether a beginner or expert, Fate Therapeutics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fate Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fate. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fate Therapeutics' price trends.

Fate Therapeutics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fate Therapeutics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fate Therapeutics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fate Therapeutics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fate Therapeutics Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fate Therapeutics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fate Therapeutics' current price.

Fate Therapeutics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fate Therapeutics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fate Therapeutics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fate Therapeutics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fate Therapeutics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fate Therapeutics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fate Therapeutics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fate Therapeutics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fate stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Fate Therapeutics is a strong investment it is important to analyze Fate Therapeutics' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Fate Therapeutics' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Fate Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fate Therapeutics to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Fate Stock refer to our How to Trade Fate Stock guide.
You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fate Therapeutics. If investors know Fate will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fate Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.33)
Revenue Per Share
0.06
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.43)
Return On Assets
(0.24)
Return On Equity
(0.52)
The market value of Fate Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fate that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fate Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fate Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fate Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fate Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fate Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fate Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fate Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.