Fabasoft Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

FBSFF Stock  USD 16.95  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Fabasoft AG on the next trading day is expected to be 16.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.67. Fabasoft Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Fabasoft's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Fabasoft price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Fabasoft Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Fabasoft AG on the next trading day is expected to be 16.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.67.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fabasoft Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fabasoft's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fabasoft Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Fabasoft Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Fabasoft's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fabasoft's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.72 and 17.47, respectively. We have considered Fabasoft's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.95
16.60
Expected Value
17.47
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fabasoft pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fabasoft pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.8175
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2569
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0148
SAESum of the absolute errors15.6725
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Fabasoft AG historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Fabasoft

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fabasoft AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.0716.9517.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.3817.2618.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
16.2817.3818.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fabasoft. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fabasoft's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fabasoft's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fabasoft AG.

Other Forecasting Options for Fabasoft

For every potential investor in Fabasoft, whether a beginner or expert, Fabasoft's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fabasoft Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fabasoft. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fabasoft's price trends.

Fabasoft Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fabasoft pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fabasoft could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fabasoft by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fabasoft AG Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fabasoft's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fabasoft's current price.

Fabasoft Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fabasoft pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fabasoft shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fabasoft pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Fabasoft AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fabasoft Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fabasoft's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fabasoft's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fabasoft pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Fabasoft Pink Sheet

Fabasoft financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fabasoft Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fabasoft with respect to the benefits of owning Fabasoft security.