Spectral Cap OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| FCCN Stock | USD 4.10 0.10 2.38% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Spectral Cap Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 3.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.35. Spectral OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Spectral Cap's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Spectral Cap based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Spectral Cap hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Spectral Cap Corp from the perspective of Spectral Cap response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Spectral Cap Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 3.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.35. Spectral Cap after-hype prediction price | USD 4.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Spectral |
Spectral Cap Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Spectral price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Spectral using various technical indicators. When you analyze Spectral charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Spectral Cap Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Spectral Cap Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 3.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.35.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Spectral OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Spectral Cap's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Spectral Cap OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Spectral Cap | Spectral Cap Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Spectral Cap Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Spectral Cap's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Spectral Cap's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 10.60, respectively. We have considered Spectral Cap's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Spectral Cap otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Spectral Cap otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.4082 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.186 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0703 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.349 |
Predictive Modules for Spectral Cap
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Spectral Cap Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Spectral Cap's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Spectral Cap After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Spectral Cap at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Spectral Cap or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Spectral Cap, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Spectral Cap Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Spectral Cap's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Spectral Cap's historical news coverage. Spectral Cap's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.21 and 11.02, respectively. We have considered Spectral Cap's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Spectral Cap is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Spectral Cap Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Spectral Cap OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Spectral Cap is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Spectral Cap backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Spectral Cap, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.24 | 6.75 | 0.00 | 0.19 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.10 | 4.23 | 1.17 |
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Spectral Cap Hype Timeline
Spectral Cap Corp is currently traded for 4.10. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.19. Spectral is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.23. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.17%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.24%. The volatility of related hype on Spectral Cap is about 4440.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.91. About 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.0. Spectral Cap Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:10 split on the 2nd of December 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Spectral Cap to cross-verify your projections.Spectral Cap Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Spectral Cap's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Spectral Cap's future price movements. Getting to know how Spectral Cap's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Spectral Cap may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| APXYY | Appen Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 7.20 | 0.02 | 17.39 | (14.81) | 55.84 | |
| XTRAF | Xtract One Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.98 | (4.44) | 36.03 | |
| ALYAF | Alithya Group | 0.00 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.13 | (4.00) | 21.45 | |
| APPEF | Appen Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 5.88 | 0.00 | 18.96 | |
| FSOYF | F Secure Oyj | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| QSCGF | qbeyond AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 38.78 | |
| GENTF | G5 Entertainment AB | (1.52) | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.46 | |
| FDDMF | FDM Group plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.76 | |
| CNGFF | Change Financial Limited | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DCHIY | Digital China Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.76 |
Other Forecasting Options for Spectral Cap
For every potential investor in Spectral, whether a beginner or expert, Spectral Cap's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Spectral OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Spectral. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Spectral Cap's price trends.Spectral Cap Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Spectral Cap otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Spectral Cap could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Spectral Cap by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Spectral Cap Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Spectral Cap otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Spectral Cap shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Spectral Cap otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Spectral Cap Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Spectral Cap Risk Indicators
The analysis of Spectral Cap's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Spectral Cap's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting spectral otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.23 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.66 | |||
| Variance | 44.41 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.2 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.11 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.93) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Spectral Cap
The number of cover stories for Spectral Cap depends on current market conditions and Spectral Cap's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Spectral Cap is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Spectral Cap's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Spectral Cap Short Properties
Spectral Cap's future price predictability will typically decrease when Spectral Cap's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Spectral Cap Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Spectral Cap's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Spectral Cap's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 264.00 |
Other Information on Investing in Spectral OTC Stock
Spectral Cap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Spectral OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Spectral with respect to the benefits of owning Spectral Cap security.