Mainstay Pinestone Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| FCGYX Fund | 20.66 0.06 0.29% |
Mainstay Mutual Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Mainstay Pinestone's mutual fund price is slightly above 63. This usually indicates that the mutual fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Mainstay, making its price go up or down. Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Mainstay Pinestone hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mainstay Pinestone Global from the perspective of Mainstay Pinestone response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mainstay Pinestone Global on the next trading day is expected to be 20.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.65. Mainstay Pinestone after-hype prediction price | USD 20.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Mainstay |
Mainstay Pinestone Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mainstay price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mainstay using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mainstay charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Mainstay Pinestone Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mainstay Pinestone Global on the next trading day is expected to be 20.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.65.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mainstay Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mainstay Pinestone's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mainstay Pinestone Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Mainstay Pinestone | Mainstay Pinestone Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Mainstay Pinestone Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Mainstay Pinestone's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mainstay Pinestone's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.35 and 21.97, respectively. We have considered Mainstay Pinestone's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mainstay Pinestone mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mainstay Pinestone mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.2904 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0336 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1254 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0064 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.65 |
Predictive Modules for Mainstay Pinestone
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mainstay Pinestone Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mainstay Pinestone's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mainstay Pinestone After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mainstay Pinestone at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mainstay Pinestone or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Mainstay Pinestone, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mainstay Pinestone Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mainstay Pinestone's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mainstay Pinestone's historical news coverage. Mainstay Pinestone's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.35 and 21.97, respectively. We have considered Mainstay Pinestone's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mainstay Pinestone is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mainstay Pinestone Global is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mainstay Pinestone Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Mainstay Pinestone is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mainstay Pinestone backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mainstay Pinestone, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.66 | 20.66 | 0.00 |
|
Mainstay Pinestone Hype Timeline
Mainstay Pinestone Global is currently traded for 20.66. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Mainstay is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mainstay Pinestone is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.66. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mainstay Pinestone to cross-verify your projections.Mainstay Pinestone Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mainstay Pinestone's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mainstay Pinestone's future price movements. Getting to know how Mainstay Pinestone's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mainstay Pinestone may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CYBAX | Calvert High Yield | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.38) | 0.24 | (0.20) | 0.80 | |
| SEIYX | Simt High Yield | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 0.40 | (0.20) | 1.20 | |
| BHYRX | Blackrock High Yield | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 0.28 | (0.28) | 0.84 | |
| BUIHX | Buffalo High Yield | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.41) | 0.29 | (0.19) | 0.77 | |
| JDHYX | Janus High Yield Fund | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.41 | (0.27) | 0.95 | |
| PAXHX | Pax High Yield | (0.02) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 0.33 | (0.16) | 0.98 |
Other Forecasting Options for Mainstay Pinestone
For every potential investor in Mainstay, whether a beginner or expert, Mainstay Pinestone's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mainstay Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mainstay. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mainstay Pinestone's price trends.Mainstay Pinestone Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mainstay Pinestone mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mainstay Pinestone could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mainstay Pinestone by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mainstay Pinestone Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mainstay Pinestone mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mainstay Pinestone shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mainstay Pinestone mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Mainstay Pinestone Global entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 20.66 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.66 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.03 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.06 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 63.01 |
Mainstay Pinestone Risk Indicators
The analysis of Mainstay Pinestone's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mainstay Pinestone's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mainstay mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6287 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.4601 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Variance | 1.59 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.5197 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.2117 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.73) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Mainstay Pinestone
The number of cover stories for Mainstay Pinestone depends on current market conditions and Mainstay Pinestone's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mainstay Pinestone is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mainstay Pinestone's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Other Information on Investing in Mainstay Mutual Fund
Mainstay Pinestone financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mainstay Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mainstay with respect to the benefits of owning Mainstay Pinestone security.
| Pattern Recognition Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges | |
| Analyst Advice Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories | |
| Stock Tickers Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites | |
| Stock Screener Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook. |