Fitness Champs Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

FCHL Stock   0.23  0.02  8.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fitness Champs Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.92. Fitness Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Fitness Champs' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Fitness Champs' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Fitness Champs fundamentals over time.
At this time, Fitness Champs' Payables Turnover is quite stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is expected to rise to 75.17 this year, although the value of Fixed Asset Turnover will most likely fall to 6.45. . The value of Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to slide to about 13.6 M.
Fitness Champs simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Fitness Champs Holdings are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Fitness Champs Holdings prices get older.

Fitness Champs Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fitness Champs Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.92.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fitness Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fitness Champs' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fitness Champs Stock Forecast Pattern

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Fitness Champs Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Fitness Champs' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fitness Champs' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 4.98, respectively. We have considered Fitness Champs' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.23
0.23
Expected Value
4.98
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fitness Champs stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fitness Champs stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.3107
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0062
MADMean absolute deviation0.0151
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0393
SAESum of the absolute errors0.92
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Fitness Champs Holdings forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Fitness Champs observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Fitness Champs

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fitness Champs Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.325.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.224.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fitness Champs. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fitness Champs' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fitness Champs' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fitness Champs Holdings.

Other Forecasting Options for Fitness Champs

For every potential investor in Fitness, whether a beginner or expert, Fitness Champs' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fitness Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fitness. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fitness Champs' price trends.

Fitness Champs Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fitness Champs stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fitness Champs could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fitness Champs by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fitness Champs Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fitness Champs' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fitness Champs' current price.

Fitness Champs Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fitness Champs stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fitness Champs shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fitness Champs stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fitness Champs Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fitness Champs Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fitness Champs' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fitness Champs' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fitness stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Fitness Champs Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Fitness Champs' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Fitness Champs' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Fitness Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fitness Champs to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Education & Training Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fitness Champs. If investors know Fitness will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fitness Champs listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
0.01
Revenue Per Share
0.281
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.10)
Return On Assets
0.0144
Return On Equity
2.1772
The market value of Fitness Champs Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fitness that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fitness Champs' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fitness Champs' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fitness Champs' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fitness Champs' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fitness Champs' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fitness Champs is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fitness Champs' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.