FCCC Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

FCIC Stock  USD 0  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of FCCC Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000025 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. FCCC Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast FCCC stock prices and determine the direction of FCCC Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of FCCC's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of FCCC's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of FCCC's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with FCCC Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using FCCC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FCCC Inc from the perspective of FCCC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of FCCC Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000025 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

FCCC after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.001242  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FCCC to cross-verify your projections.

FCCC Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine FCCC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FCCC using various technical indicators. When you analyze FCCC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for FCCC is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

FCCC Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of FCCC Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000025, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FCCC Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FCCC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

FCCC Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest FCCCFCCC Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

FCCC Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting FCCC's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FCCC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00002 and 12.81, respectively. We have considered FCCC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0
0.00002
Downside
0
Expected Value
12.81
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FCCC pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FCCC pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria96.7648
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0127
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0015
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of FCCC Inc price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of FCCC. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for FCCC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FCCC Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.00012.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.00012.80
Details

FCCC After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of FCCC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FCCC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of FCCC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

FCCC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting FCCC's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FCCC's historical news coverage. FCCC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 12.80, respectively. We have considered FCCC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0
0
After-hype Price
12.80
Upside
FCCC is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FCCC Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

FCCC Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FCCC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FCCC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FCCC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.64 
12.80
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0
0
37.88 
0.00  
Notes

FCCC Hype Timeline

FCCC Inc is currently traded for 0. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. FCCC is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.001242. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -37.88%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.64%. The volatility of related hype on FCCC is about 498054.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. About 88.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.06. FCCC Inc last dividend was issued on the 10th of August 2009. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FCCC to cross-verify your projections.

FCCC Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to FCCC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FCCC's future price movements. Getting to know how FCCC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FCCC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for FCCC

For every potential investor in FCCC, whether a beginner or expert, FCCC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FCCC Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FCCC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FCCC's price trends.

FCCC Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FCCC pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FCCC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FCCC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

FCCC Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FCCC pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FCCC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FCCC pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify FCCC Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

FCCC Risk Indicators

The analysis of FCCC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FCCC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fccc pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for FCCC

The number of cover stories for FCCC depends on current market conditions and FCCC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FCCC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FCCC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Information on Investing in FCCC Pink Sheet

FCCC financial ratios help investors to determine whether FCCC Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FCCC with respect to the benefits of owning FCCC security.