Fdpacx Fund Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average
| FDPACX Fund | 31.37 0.77 2.40% |
Fdpacx Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Fdpacx's share price is above 70 at this time. This usually indicates that the fund is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Fdpacx, making its price go up or down. Momentum 74
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Fdpacx hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fdpacx from the perspective of Fdpacx response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Fdpacx on the next trading day is expected to be 31.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.40. Fdpacx after-hype prediction price | USD 31.37 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Fdpacx |
Fdpacx Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fdpacx price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fdpacx using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fdpacx charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fdpacx 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Fdpacx on the next trading day is expected to be 31.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70, mean absolute percentage error of 0.70, and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.40.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fdpacx Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fdpacx's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Fdpacx Fund Forecast Pattern
Fdpacx Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Fdpacx's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fdpacx's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.37 and 33.60, respectively. We have considered Fdpacx's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fdpacx fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fdpacx fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.2338 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.4816 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6965 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0275 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 40.395 |
Predictive Modules for Fdpacx
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fdpacx. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fdpacx Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Fdpacx at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fdpacx or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of Fdpacx, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fdpacx Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as Fdpacx is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fdpacx backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fdpacx, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.72 | 2.11 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
31.37 | 31.37 | 0.00 |
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Fdpacx Hype Timeline
Fdpacx is currently traded for 31.37. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.24. Fdpacx is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.72%. %. The volatility of related hype on Fdpacx is about 632.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.13. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out fundamental analysis of Fdpacx to check your projections.Fdpacx Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fdpacx's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fdpacx's future price movements. Getting to know how Fdpacx's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fdpacx may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TSDUX | Ultra Short Term Fixed | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (1.07) | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.10 | |
| SNORX | Easterly Snow Longshort | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.30 | 0.17 | 1.78 | (1.05) | 6.59 | |
| DMBAX | Dreyfus Short Intermediate | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.71) | 0.15 | (0.08) | 0.39 | |
| QNZIX | Aqr Sustainable Long Short | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.54 | 0.15 | 1.31 | (1.08) | 3.28 | |
| FSHAX | Nuveen Short Term | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.77) | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.41 | |
| KCEIX | Knights Of Columbus | (2.72) | 6 per month | 0.03 | (0.01) | 0.49 | (0.48) | 1.30 | |
| FUEMX | Fidelity Flex Servative | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.75) | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.40 | |
| FTFZX | Franklin Federal Limited Term | 0.05 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.66) | 0.10 | (0.10) | 0.39 |
Other Forecasting Options for Fdpacx
For every potential investor in Fdpacx, whether a beginner or expert, Fdpacx's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fdpacx Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fdpacx. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fdpacx's price trends.Fdpacx Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fdpacx fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fdpacx could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fdpacx by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fdpacx Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fdpacx fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fdpacx shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fdpacx fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Fdpacx entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 31.37 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 31.37 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.38) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.77) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 74.45 |
Fdpacx Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fdpacx's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fdpacx's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fdpacx fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Variance | 4.46 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.47 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.29 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.82) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Fdpacx
The number of cover stories for Fdpacx depends on current market conditions and Fdpacx's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fdpacx is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fdpacx's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Fdpacx Fund
Fdpacx financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fdpacx Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fdpacx with respect to the benefits of owning Fdpacx security.
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