Listed Funds ETF Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average
| FEBZ ETF | USD 39.41 0.08 0.20% |
The 4 Period Moving Average output for Listed Funds Trust is derived from daily price data across the evaluation window. The error pattern reveals whether the model tracked prices consistently or diverged during volatile sessions. Parameters are re-estimated as new trading sessions are recorded, keeping the forecast current. The 4 Period Moving Average model projects Listed Funds at 39.25 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. Listed Funds's 4 Period Moving Average forecast is intended for short-term analytical reference.
4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 7th of May
Over a 90-day horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average model forecasts Listed Funds at 39.25 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.01 , and sum of absolute errors of 16.13 .This represents a very tight forecast — the model closely tracks Listed Funds' recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
ETF Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Listed Funds | Listed Funds Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This forecast for Listed Funds frames the expected trading range using downside and upside bounds rather than a single point target. The current forecast range spans downside near 38.54 and upside near 39.96. The moderate spread reflects defined uncertainty around the forecast.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 4 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Listed Funds ETF. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.6793 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0647 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.283 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0076 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.1325 |
Other Forecasting Options for Listed Funds
Relative Strength Index values for Listed Funds measure the speed and magnitude of recent price changes. Recognizing these clusters in Listed Funds' returns informs position size and stop-loss calibration. Candlestick pattern analysis of Listed Funds ETF daily data reveals short-term reversal or continuation signals.Listed Funds Related Equities
These related stocks within the Defined Outcome space give benchmarks for judging Listed Funds' results, margins, and growth trend. Revenue and margin checks across this group help investors set expectations for Listed Funds' results. Firms that trade at big discounts to peers on core metrics may be worth more research. Combining quantitative ratios with qualitative context such as management quality and market position sharpens peer comparisons.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Listed Funds Market Strength Events
Accumulation/Distribution and Balance of Power for Listed Funds reveal whether buying or selling pressure dominates recent sessions. Balance of Power trending positive indicates that buyers are consistently closing Listed Funds near session highs. These signals help explain whether price direction and session structure are moving together for Listed Funds.
Listed Funds Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for Listed Funds quantifies how much price variability the ETF has exhibited over the measurement window. Downside variance exceeding total variance indicates that negative moves in Listed Funds have been larger or more frequent than positive ones. Mean deviation provides a more intuitive measure of typical price fluctuation than variance because it stays in the same units as Listed Funds' price.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5745 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6261 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.7287 | |||
| Variance | 0.5311 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.5299 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.392 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.60 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
More Resources for Listed Funds ETF Analysis
The market price of Listed Funds Trust is influenced by its net asset value (NAV), which reflects the value of Listed Funds underlying holdings.
Listed Funds NAV depends on underlying asset values, while price depends on secondary market activity. Premium-to-NAV history and bid-ask spread trends are among factors that shape perceived value.