First Eagle Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

First Eagle Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. First Eagle simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for First Eagle Value are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as First Eagle Value prices get older.

First Eagle Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of First Eagle Value on the next trading day is expected to be 24.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.08.

First Eagle Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of First Eagle mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent First Eagle mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting First Eagle Value forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent First Eagle observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for First Eagle

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Eagle Value. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 23.34 25.13 26.92 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 23.10 24.89 26.68 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 23.52 24.32 25.11 Details

First Eagle After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

First Eagle Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

First Eagle Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

First Eagle Hype Timeline

First Eagle Value is currently traded for 25.13. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. First is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on First Eagle is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.13. The company last dividend was issued on the 18th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of First Eagle to cross-verify your projections.

First Eagle Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for First Eagle

For every potential investor in First, whether a beginner or expert, First Eagle's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. First Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in First. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying First Eagle's price trends.

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