F5 Networks Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| FFIV Stock | USD 282.53 9.77 3.34% |
FFIV Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of RSI of F5 Networks' share price is at 59. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling F5 Networks, making its price go up or down. Momentum 59
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using F5 Networks hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of F5 Networks from the perspective of F5 Networks response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of F5 Networks on the next trading day is expected to be 282.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 215.10. F5 Networks after-hype prediction price | USD 282.53 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of F5 Networks to cross-verify your projections. F5 Networks Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FFIV price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FFIV using various technical indicators. When you analyze FFIV charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
F5 Networks Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of F5 Networks on the next trading day is expected to be 282.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.59, mean absolute percentage error of 27.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 215.10.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FFIV Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that F5 Networks' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
F5 Networks Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest F5 Networks | F5 Networks Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
F5 Networks Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting F5 Networks' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. F5 Networks' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 280.52 and 284.54, respectively. We have considered F5 Networks' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of F5 Networks stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent F5 Networks stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.5786 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.4913 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.585 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0139 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 215.1 |
Predictive Modules for F5 Networks
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as F5 Networks. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.F5 Networks After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of F5 Networks at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in F5 Networks or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of F5 Networks, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
F5 Networks Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting F5 Networks' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on F5 Networks' historical news coverage. F5 Networks' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 280.52 and 284.54, respectively. We have considered F5 Networks' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
F5 Networks is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of F5 Networks is based on 3 months time horizon.
F5 Networks Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as F5 Networks is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading F5 Networks backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with F5 Networks, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 2.01 | 0.00 | 0.29 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
282.53 | 282.53 | 0.00 |
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F5 Networks Hype Timeline
F5 Networks is currently traded for 282.53. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.29. FFIV is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on F5 Networks is about 137.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 282.24. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of F5 Networks was currently reported as 62.2. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.13. F5 Networks recorded earning per share (EPS) of 12.09. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 2:1 split on the 21st of August 2007. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of F5 Networks to cross-verify your projections.F5 Networks Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to F5 Networks' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict F5 Networks' future price movements. Getting to know how F5 Networks' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how F5 Networks may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KSPI | Joint Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.35 | 0.02 | 3.31 | (2.19) | 8.44 | |
| GEN | Gen Digital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.03 | (1.83) | 7.70 | |
| RBRK | Rubrik | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.72 | (6.37) | 31.36 | |
| OKTA | Okta Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.02 | (3.27) | 8.73 | |
| DT | Dynatrace Holdings LLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 2.52 | (3.61) | 6.76 | |
| KLAR | Klarna Group plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 4.76 | (6.00) | 13.05 | |
| AKAM | Akamai Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.60 | 0.16 | 4.04 | (2.80) | 18.87 | |
| DOCU | DocuSign | (3.65) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.62 | (4.99) | 12.28 | |
| GDDY | Godaddy | (2.33) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 1.77 | (3.27) | 9.52 | |
| CPAY | Corpay Inc | (8.63) | 9 per month | 1.25 | 0.16 | 3.76 | (2.02) | 11.04 |
Other Forecasting Options for F5 Networks
For every potential investor in FFIV, whether a beginner or expert, F5 Networks' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FFIV Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FFIV. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying F5 Networks' price trends.F5 Networks Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with F5 Networks stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of F5 Networks could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing F5 Networks by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
F5 Networks Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how F5 Networks stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading F5 Networks shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying F5 Networks stock market strength indicators, traders can identify F5 Networks entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 84049.89 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.50) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 283.98 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 283.49 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (6.33) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (9.77) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 59.51 |
F5 Networks Risk Indicators
The analysis of F5 Networks' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in F5 Networks' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ffiv stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.35 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.01 | |||
| Variance | 4.03 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.47 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.83 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.56) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for F5 Networks
The number of cover stories for F5 Networks depends on current market conditions and F5 Networks' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that F5 Networks is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about F5 Networks' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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F5 Networks Short Properties
F5 Networks' future price predictability will typically decrease when F5 Networks' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of F5 Networks often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential F5 Networks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. F5 Networks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 B |
Additional Tools for FFIV Stock Analysis
When running F5 Networks' price analysis, check to measure F5 Networks' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy F5 Networks is operating at the current time. Most of F5 Networks' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of F5 Networks' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move F5 Networks' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of F5 Networks to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.