First Mining OTC Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

FFMGF Stock  USD 0.09  0.01  5.21%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of First Mining Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 0.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.25. First OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of First Mining's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for First Mining Gold is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

First Mining 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of First Mining Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 0.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000042, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.25.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict First OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that First Mining's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

First Mining OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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First Mining Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting First Mining's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. First Mining's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0009 and 5.30, respectively. We have considered First Mining's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.09
0.0009
Downside
0.09
Expected Value
5.30
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of First Mining otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent First Mining otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria100.6872
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 3.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0044
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0416
SAESum of the absolute errors0.249
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of First Mining. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for First Mining Gold and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for First Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Mining Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.095.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.085.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Mining. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Mining's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Mining's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Mining Gold.

Other Forecasting Options for First Mining

For every potential investor in First, whether a beginner or expert, First Mining's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. First OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in First. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying First Mining's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

First Mining Gold Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of First Mining's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of First Mining's current price.

First Mining Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how First Mining otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading First Mining shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying First Mining otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify First Mining Gold entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

First Mining Risk Indicators

The analysis of First Mining's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in First Mining's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting first otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in First OTC Stock

First Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether First OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Mining security.