FFW Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| FFWC Stock | USD 47.65 0.00 0.00% |
FFW Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast FFW stock prices and determine the direction of FFW Corporation's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of FFW's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of FFW's share price is above 70 at the present time. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling FFW, making its price go up or down. Momentum 76
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using FFW hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FFW Corporation from the perspective of FFW response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FFW Corporation on the next trading day is expected to be 47.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.05. FFW after-hype prediction price | USD 47.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
FFW |
FFW Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FFW price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FFW using various technical indicators. When you analyze FFW charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
FFW Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FFW Corporation on the next trading day is expected to be 47.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.05.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FFW Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FFW's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
FFW Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest FFW | FFW Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
FFW Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting FFW's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FFW's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 47.07 and 48.24, respectively. We have considered FFW's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FFW pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FFW pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0337 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1704 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0037 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.0525 |
Predictive Modules for FFW
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FFW Corporation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FFW's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
FFW After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of FFW at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FFW or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of FFW, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
FFW Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting FFW's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FFW's historical news coverage. FFW's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 47.07 and 48.23, respectively. We have considered FFW's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
FFW is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FFW Corporation is based on 3 months time horizon.
FFW Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FFW is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FFW backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FFW, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
47.65 | 47.65 | 0.00 |
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FFW Hype Timeline
FFW Corporation is currently traded for 47.65. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. FFW is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on FFW is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 47.65. The company last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2022. FFW Corporation had 2:1 split on the 2nd of January 1998. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FFW to cross-verify your projections.FFW Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to FFW's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FFW's future price movements. Getting to know how FFW's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FFW may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NIDB | Northeast Indiana Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.97 | 0.01 | 1.94 | (1.83) | 7.18 | |
| CEFC | Commercial National Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.18 | 2.41 | (1.06) | 5.36 | |
| PBKX | Partners Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.25 | 0.18 | 3.01 | (1.00) | 5.98 | |
| CBAF | Citba Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.53 | 0.13 | 2.62 | (1.90) | 16.61 | |
| LSFG | Lifestore Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.77 | (0.02) | 4.28 | (4.08) | 20.93 | |
| HFBK | Harford Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.14 | 0.06 | 3.29 | (2.21) | 13.08 | |
| MBKL | MBT Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.05 | 0.05 | 5.73 | (3.38) | 22.40 | |
| BAOB | Baraboo Bancorporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.00 | 0.13 | 2.45 | (1.68) | 11.56 | |
| HLFN | Home Loan Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.18 | 2.35 | (0.83) | 8.23 | |
| CIBH | CIB Marine Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.53 | (0.04) | 1.64 | (1.40) | 8.53 |
Other Forecasting Options for FFW
For every potential investor in FFW, whether a beginner or expert, FFW's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FFW Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FFW. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FFW's price trends.FFW Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FFW pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FFW could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FFW by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
FFW Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FFW pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FFW shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FFW pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify FFW Corporation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
FFW Risk Indicators
The analysis of FFW's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FFW's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ffw pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3442 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5631 | |||
| Variance | 0.3171 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.3974 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.09) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.80) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for FFW
The number of cover stories for FFW depends on current market conditions and FFW's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FFW is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FFW's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in FFW Pink Sheet
FFW financial ratios help investors to determine whether FFW Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FFW with respect to the benefits of owning FFW security.