Foresight Financial OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| FGFH Stock | USD 44.50 0.51 1.16% |
Foresight OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Foresight Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 28th of January 2026 The value of RSI of Foresight Financial's share price is above 80 . This usually indicates that the otc stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 89
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Foresight Financial based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Foresight Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Foresight Financial from the perspective of Foresight Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Foresight Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 44.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.81. Foresight Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 44.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Foresight |
Foresight Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Foresight price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Foresight using various technical indicators. When you analyze Foresight charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Foresight Financial Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Foresight Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 44.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.81.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Foresight OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Foresight Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Foresight Financial OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Foresight Financial | Foresight Financial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Foresight Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Foresight Financial's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Foresight Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 43.73 and 45.27, respectively. We have considered Foresight Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Foresight Financial otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Foresight Financial otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.0519 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1365 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1802 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0044 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.81 |
Predictive Modules for Foresight Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Foresight Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Foresight Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Foresight Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Foresight Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Foresight Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Foresight Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Foresight Financial's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Foresight Financial's historical news coverage. Foresight Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 43.73 and 45.27, respectively. We have considered Foresight Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Foresight Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Foresight Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Foresight Financial OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Foresight Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Foresight Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Foresight Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
44.50 | 44.50 | 0.00 |
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Foresight Financial Hype Timeline
Foresight Financial is currently traded for 44.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Foresight is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.34%. %. The volatility of related hype on Foresight Financial is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 44.50. About 14.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.73. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Foresight Financial last dividend was issued on the 7th of February 2023. The entity had 2:1 split on the 30th of May 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Foresight Financial to cross-verify your projections.Foresight Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Foresight Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Foresight Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Foresight Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Foresight Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MNAT | Marquette National Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.71 | 0.02 | 0.97 | (0.96) | 4.73 | |
| ENBP | ENB Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.93 | 0.02 | 2.13 | (1.58) | 5.31 | |
| CSBB | CSB Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.78 | 0.07 | 3.64 | (2.02) | 7.49 | |
| MSWV | Main Street Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.58 | (0.01) | 1.20 | (1.16) | 3.66 | |
| CMTV | Community Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.61 | 0.11 | 1.30 | (1.25) | 18.97 | |
| CNBN | CNB Bank Shares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.85 | 0.05 | 3.55 | (1.68) | 16.38 | |
| QNBC | QNB Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.51 | (0.02) | 1.10 | (1.30) | 3.14 | |
| BMBN | Benchmark Bankshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.06 | 0.04 | 1.48 | (1.57) | 15.88 | |
| EMYB | Embassy Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.18 | 0.02 | 1.17 | (0.52) | 2.82 | |
| FOTB | First Ottawa Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.30 | 0.02 | 2.42 | (2.30) | 15.24 |
Other Forecasting Options for Foresight Financial
For every potential investor in Foresight, whether a beginner or expert, Foresight Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Foresight OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Foresight. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Foresight Financial's price trends.Foresight Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Foresight Financial otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Foresight Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Foresight Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Foresight Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Foresight Financial otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Foresight Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Foresight Financial otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Foresight Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Foresight Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Foresight Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Foresight Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting foresight otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5073 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.7674 | |||
| Variance | 0.589 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.112 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.31) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.76) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Foresight Financial
The number of cover stories for Foresight Financial depends on current market conditions and Foresight Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Foresight Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Foresight Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Foresight OTC Stock
Foresight Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Foresight OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Foresight with respect to the benefits of owning Foresight Financial security.