First Hartford Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| FHRT Stock | USD 22.00 0.32 1.43% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of First Hartford on the next trading day is expected to be 22.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.49. First Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
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First Hartford Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of First Hartford on the next trading day is expected to be 22.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57, mean absolute percentage error of 0.80, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.49.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict First Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that First Hartford's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
First Hartford Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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First Hartford Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting First Hartford's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. First Hartford's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.54 and 26.30, respectively. We have considered First Hartford's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of First Hartford pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent First Hartford pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.8885 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5654 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0253 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 34.4877 |
Predictive Modules for First Hartford
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Hartford. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for First Hartford
For every potential investor in First, whether a beginner or expert, First Hartford's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. First Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in First. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying First Hartford's price trends.First Hartford Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with First Hartford pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of First Hartford could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Hartford by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
First Hartford Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of First Hartford's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of First Hartford's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
First Hartford Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how First Hartford pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading First Hartford shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying First Hartford pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify First Hartford entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 22.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 22.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.16) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.32) |
First Hartford Risk Indicators
The analysis of First Hartford's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in First Hartford's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting first pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.79 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.79 | |||
| Variance | 14.36 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for First Pink Sheet Analysis
When running First Hartford's price analysis, check to measure First Hartford's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Hartford is operating at the current time. Most of First Hartford's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Hartford's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Hartford's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Hartford to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.